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Insights and Strategies for Today and Tomorrow

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Weekly Market Recap

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Is the low-quality rally sputtering out?

Explore the recent reversal in the low-quality stock rally and discover why fundamentals matter in today’s market. Learn how speculative sectors like AI, crypto and biotech have performed versus quality stocks and get insights on where investors should focus for sustainable returns.

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Are rate cuts helping consumers?

Discover why recent Federal Reserve rate cuts aren’t boosting consumer spending as expected. Explore the impact on holiday shopping, household debt and interest income in our latest market analysis.

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Will nuclear power AI data centers?

Can nuclear power solve the energy crisis for AI data centers? Uncover the challenges, investment opportunities and market impact of uranium and small modular reactors in the U.S.

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Is AI-related debt an issuer problem or a concern for broader credit markets?

Is Big Tech’s AI-driven bond issuance a threat to credit markets? Explore expert insights on AI-related debt, sector concentration and opportunities for investors in today’s investment-grade credit market.

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How could the Supreme Court ruling affect tariffs?

Discover how the Supreme Court’s ruling on IEEPA tariffs could impact U.S. trade policy, global tariff rates and market volatility. Learn what new tariff powers the administration may use and what it means for businesses and investors.

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Can AI software turn adoption into revenue?

Learn how AI software is reshaping enterprise productivity and profit. Find out which companies are winning, the biggest integration challenges, and the future of AI monetization.

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Who will win the AI race?

Discover which country is leading the global AI race—US or China. Explore key trends in artificial intelligence, technology investment and Asia’s growing influence in robotics and automation.

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Will the Fed cut rates again at its December meeting?

Discover the latest insights on the Federal Reserve’s October interest rate cut and what to expect at the December meeting. Learn how the government shutdown, inflation trends and funding market stress could impact future rate decisions.

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Why are rare earth metals important?

Learn how rare earth metals drive AI and tech advancements, the effects of U.S.-China trade tensions and what investors need to know about this dynamic market.

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Do recent defaults signal trouble in private credit?

Discover how recent defaults in the auto sector and leveraged loans are impacting private credit markets. Learn what investors should watch for and how to manage credit risk in today’s evolving landscape.

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If policies change, do portfolios need to change too?

Discover how evolving U.S. economic policies, global trends like economic nationalism, fiscal activism and AI adoption are reshaping investment strategies. J.P. Morgan’s latest insights reveal why traditional 60/40 portfolios may fall short and how diversified alternatives can enhance resilience and returns. Learn how to future-proof your portfolio for the next decade with thought leadership from J.P. Morgan.

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Does circularity in AI deals warn of a bubble?

Circular spending is accelerating in AI, but does it mean a bubble is forming? Explore how overlapping partnerships among hyperscalers, chipmakers and model developers are reshaping artificial intelligence markets with robust fundamentals.

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What is behind the growth of private equity in sports?

Private equity firms are changing the game in sports. Learn about the rise in minority stakes, booming team valuations and the financial appeal of investing in professional leagues.

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Are stocks too expensive?

Uncover the reasons behind record-high U.S. stock market valuations and learn expert strategies for portfolio diversification into value stocks, international equities and corporate credit for stronger returns.

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How can investors minimize tax burdens during capital gains season?

Learn how to optimize your portfolio for tax efficiency during capital gains season. Find out why ETFs outperform mutual funds in tax savings and how tax loss harvesting can help you keep more of your returns.

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Which rates will fall as the Fed cuts?

Wondering which rates will drop as the Fed cuts? Explore expert insights on the yield curve, Treasury yields and smart investment strategies for a changing bond market.

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What’s behind AI’s exploding need for compute?

Why is AI infrastructure spend soaring? Dive into the factors behind rising compute demand, the impact of hyperscalers and the changing business models shaping the future of artificial intelligence.

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What do interest rate cuts mean for alternatives?

Discover how Federal Reserve interest rate cuts impact alternative investments like private equity, venture capital, private credit, real assets and hedge funds. Learn what investors should consider in today’s changing market.

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What could a government shutdown mean for markets?

A potential U.S. government shutdown could shake markets and investor confidence. Read our analysis of potential impacts on stocks, bonds, and economic indicators.

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What are the investment implications of the Fed rate cutting cycle?

Fed rate cuts are here—find out which rates are falling, which stocks to watch, and which regions may outperform. Get actionable investment insights for today’s market.

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Are rate cuts justified or a sign of weakening Federal Reserve independence?

Explore the latest Federal Reserve rate cut, its impact on economic growth, inflation and Fed independence. Learn what this means for investors and market trends in 2025.

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Is AI already driving U.S. growth?

Discover how artificial intelligence (AI) is driving U.S. economic growth in 2025, with record investments in data centers, tech hardware, and infrastructure. Explore the impact of AI on GDP, business investment, and the future of the American economy.

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Where are markets headed from here?

Explore four potential market scenarios—accelerating growth, slow stability, recession, and stagflation—and see how each could influence your portfolio. Find actionable advice for navigating economic uncertainty.

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Is the U.S. equity market in a bubble?

Is the U.S. stock market overheated? Uncover insights on market cap-to-GDP ratios, tech sector influence, and smart investment moves for 2025. Learn how shifting market dynamics and sector concentration could impact your portfolio and discover strategies to manage risk and seize new opportunities.

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Who wins big from a weaker U.S. dollar?

Understand the benefits of a declining USD for emerging markets. Explore how EM equities are thriving with improved capital flows and enhanced returns. Get insights into the structural and cyclical factors driving EM growth.

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Is private equity the new small cap for growth investors?

Private equity vs. small cap stocks: Which offers better growth potential? Delve into the evolving investment landscape and discover where growth investors should focus their attention.

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Where is the U.S. dollar headed in 2025?

Stay informed on the U.S. dollar's trajectory in 2025 with our comprehensive updated analysis. Discover how policy uncertainty, fluctuating growth rates and shifting global capital flows are shaping currency value and influencing investor strategies.

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What does July inflation mean for Fed policy?

July CPI inflation report reveals headline and core inflation surprises, impacting Federal Reserve policy. Key factors include tariff-related price pressures, energy prices and core services dynamics. Explore the influence of seasonal components, equity prices and fiscal stimulus on potential interest rate cuts and economic indicators.

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Is AI already reducing demand for workers?

Explore the impact of AI on the workforce in 2025, where AI adoption is transforming roles rather than eliminating them. Uncover the macroeconomic factors contributing to the U.S. hiring slowdown and gain insights into the future of AI-driven job creation and evolving skill demands.

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Should the Fed cut interest rates in September?

Explore the July FOMC meeting insights where the Federal funds rate remains steady. Discover the reasons behind the dissenting votes, Chair Powell's stance on Fed independence, and the economic outlook amid tariff impacts. Stay informed on potential September rate cuts and market expectations.

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Where are we going with tariffs?

Discover how August's pivotal tariff deadlines could impact global trade and investment strategies. Explore key dates, including new reciprocal tariffs on major trade partners, U.S.-China negotiations and potential court rulings. Learn how these developments affect market trends, corporate earnings and the importance of diversification and active management. Stay informed on economic resilience and inflation hedging opportunities.

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What’s in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA)?

Explore the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and its impact on the economy, tax policy, government spending, and deficits. Discover how the OBBBA's tax cuts, spending changes, and debt ceiling adjustments could influence growth, inflation, and the labor market. Understand the potential effects on corporate profits, social programs, and investment strategies. Stay informed on the latest fiscal policy shifts and market reactions.

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What is a stablecoin?

Uncover the significance of stablecoins in today's financial landscape, offering stability and efficiency in decentralized transactions. Explore the GENIUS Act's role in shaping regulatory frameworks, stablecoins' applications in cross-border payments and blockchain marketplaces, and their impact on U.S. government debt and global finance.

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How can investors capitalize on shifting consumer spending patterns?

Discover how shifting consumer spending patterns are shaping investment opportunities in 2025, with insights into resilient retail sectors and emerging trends like simple luxuries. Learn how high-income consumer behavior and economic factors like inflation are influencing the U.S. economic outlook and stock selection strategies.

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What does a higher-for-longer interest rate policy mean for real estate?

Discover how a higher-for-longer interest rate policy impacts real estate investments, from market repricing to supply shocks and asset quality dispersion. Learn why selectivity in asset ownership is crucial in today's evolving economic landscape.

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Why is the Federal Reserve confident it can keep rates on hold?

Explore the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the Federal Funds Rate at 4.25%-4.50% during the June FOMC meeting. Understand the economic outlook, inflation, unemployment projections and the implications for investors amidst trade negotiations and fiscal stimulus uncertainties.

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Is now the time for U.S. investors to go global in fixed income?

Explore the advantages of global fixed income for U.S. investors, including hedging premiums and diversification benefits. Learn how Japanese government bonds and other global markets can offer higher yields when hedged back to U.S. dollars. Discover the structural features of global markets and the importance of active management in today's economic environment.

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Who is buying U.S. equities?

Explore the driving forces behind the U.S. equities rally, including retail investors and corporate buybacks, as the S&P 500 overcomes volatility. Understand market valuation, earnings growth and economic uncertainty in the context of tariffs and Federal Reserve policies.

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Can emerging markets equities outshine developed markets in 2025?

Explore the potential of emerging market equities in 2025 as they outperform developed markets, driven by solid fundamentals, easing trade tensions and technological innovation. Discover insights on portfolio diversification, currency valuation and the impact of AI adoption on investment strategies.

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How are businesses adopting AI?

Discover how businesses are leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiency and drive innovation. Explore the latest advancements from tech giants like Microsoft and Google and learn how sectors such as financial services are integrating AI for compliance, risk management and client service.

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How can value stocks help “policy-proof” portfolios?

Discover how value stocks can "policy-proof" portfolios amidst market volatility and policy changes. Explore insights on tariffs, reindustrialization and deregulation, and learn how diversified equity exposure strengthens portfolios in dynamic market conditions. Ideal for investors seeking strategies to navigate economic uncertainties and capitalize on market opportunities.

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What are the implications of Moody’s downgrade of the United States?

Explore the implications of Moody's recent downgrade of the United States credit rating from Aaa to Aa1. Understand how this shift impacts market volatility, fiscal policy and investor strategies. Discover key takeaways for global diversification and insights into the U.S.'s fiscal challenges. Stay informed with expert analysis on the evolving financial landscape and its effects on investment opportunities.

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What's driving global currency movements?

Against a backdrop of shifting tariffs and the rewriting of trade relationships, global currencies have been in flux. Entering 2024 at a two-year high, the U.S. dollar index has since surrendered over 7% of its value against a basket of major currencies.

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How could the U.S.-China trade negotiations shake out?

Explore the latest developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations, including temporary tariff reductions and their impact on global markets. Understand key issues such as trade deficits, fentanyl tariffs and strategic product considerations that could shape future economic policies and international relations.

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Is private credit’s resilience about to be tested?

Explore the resilience of private credit as it faces potential economic challenges. Discover how this $1.6 trillion asset class has grown, the risks it faces today and the strategies investors can use to navigate higher interest rates, tariffs and economic uncertainty.

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Why didn’t the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its May meeting?

Explore the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at its May meeting, despite economic uncertainties and tariff impacts. Understand the implications for future policy adjustments and how investors can navigate the current financial landscape.

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Can international equities help diversify portfolios from U.S. policy uncertainty?

Explore how recent U.S. policy changes are reshaping global investment strategies. Discover the role of international equities as key diversifiers amid economic uncertainty and learn about the shifting dynamics in global equity returns, currency movements and market expectations in 2025.

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What do U.S. chip export controls mean for investors?

Explore the implications of the U.S. AI Diffusion Rule on semiconductor investments, as new export controls reshape global chip supply chains, impact tech stocks and challenge geopolitical dynamics.

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What happened during the past U.S. tariff experiments?

Explore the history of U.S. tariff policies and their economic impacts in this insightful blog by Mary Park Durham. From the McKinley tariffs of 1890 to the Smoot-Hawley Act of 1930, discover how past tariff experiments shaped industries, consumer prices, and trade relations.

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How can investors quickly diversify during market volatility?

Explore strategies for investors to diversify portfolios during market volatility with liquid alternatives, risk management and tactical asset allocation for capital preservation and potential gains.

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Why are U.S. Treasury yields rising?

Discover the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields influenced by Federal Reserve policy and inflationary trade war effects. Learn about the market dynamics and investment opportunities amidst these changes.

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How have other countries responded to the tariff turmoil?

Explore how global markets and countries are responding to recent U.S. tariff announcements, with insights into China's retaliatory measures, the European Union's strategic delays, and Southeast Asia's conciliatory approaches.

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How vulnerable is mega-cap tech to tariff turmoil?

Explore the vulnerabilities of mega-cap tech stocks amid rising tariff tensions and global supply chain disruptions. Discover how trade wars and economic shifts are impacting market dynamics, investor strategies, and the future of AI-driven innovation in 2025.

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What are the impacts of the April 2nd tariff announcements?

Discover the effects of President Trump's new tariffs on global trade and investment strategies. Learn about potential economic impacts and how to navigate trade turmoil with diversification and active management.

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The quarter in review: what happened in 1Q 2025?

Discover the key market dynamics of 1Q 2025, including tariff uncertainty, trade policies, and economic projections, and their impact on U.S. and international markets, commodities, and investor sentiment.

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Industrials: boom or bust?

Explore the industrial sector's outlook post-election, exploring reshoring, energy and M&A impacts, with insights on key opportunities and challenges for investors.

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What does a C grade on U.S. infrastructure mean for investors?

Discover investment opportunities from the ASCE's 2025 Report Card, which rates U.S. infrastructure a C grade. Learn how infrastructure investments offer stability, inflation protection and potential in public-private partnerships and energy transitions.

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Is the Federal Reserve (Fed) concerned about policy uncertainty in Washington?

Explore the Federal Reserve's March 2025 policy decisions, economic outlook, and investment strategies amidst rising uncertainty and stagflation risks.

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Tariff turmoil or trade truce?

Explore the potential market scenarios in 2025 with Meera Pandit's insightful analysis on tariff turmoil, trade truces, tax cuts, tech tumbles, and inflation spikes. Discover how these scenarios could impact equities, yields, and your investment portfolio. Learn about the importance of diversification and alternative investments in navigating volatile markets.

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How can alternatives like infrastructure enhance diversification during volatility?

Traditional investment wisdom holds that when stocks zig, bonds zag, creating natural portfolio diversification. However, when inflation becomes the focus of investors and central banks, this relationship can break down.

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What’s driving Eurozone equity returns this year?

Discover the driving forces behind the impressive 15.1% rise in Eurozone equities in 2025. Explore how fiscal policies, structural changes and key sectors like Defense and Aerospace and Banks are fueling growth. Learn about the impact of geopolitical events, government spending and market dynamics on Eurozone's economic outlook. Stay informed with expert insights and analysis on the sustainability of this market rally.

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What do investors need to know from the February Jobs report?

Explore the February Jobs Report with insights into payroll growth, sector performance, unemployment trends, and wage dynamics. Understand the implications for investors and the Federal Reserve amidst economic uncertainties. Ideal for institutional clients and qualified investors seeking a comprehensive analysis of current labor market conditions.

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What are the investment implications of higher tariffs?

Explore the investment implications of recent tariff increases amidst trade turmoil. Discover strategies for navigating economic uncertainty, including asset diversification, quality risk exposure, and active management. Learn how tariffs impact growth, inflation and key industries, and gain insights into effective investing amidst policy changes.

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Is the AI Capex Boom signaling “buy” or “diversify”?

Explore the AI Capex Boom as leading U.S. tech companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure, driving economic growth and productivity. Discover the implications for investors and the global economy, and learn how to navigate the evolving AI landscape with a diversified approach.

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Will small cap earnings lead the pack?

Explore the potential of small cap earnings in 2025 with Meera Pandit's insightful analysis. Discover why small cap stocks, despite an estimated 39% earnings growth, may face significant revisions and challenges. Learn about historical trends, economic factors, and investment strategies that could impact small, mid, and large cap equities.

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Is the strong performance in European equities sustainable?

Explore the sustainability of European equities' strong performance in 2025. Gabriela Santos analyzes the factors driving market gains, including cyclical recovery and structural changes, while highlighting potential risks like U.S. tariffs. Discover insights into global equity valuations and the future of international markets.

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Which countries would be most impacted by reciprocal tariffs?

Explore the potential impacts of President Trump's "Fair and Reciprocal Plan" on global trade, focusing on how reciprocal tariffs could affect the European Union and emerging markets. Understand the complexities of non-tariff barriers and the economic implications for investors and industries. Stay informed with insights on international trade dynamics and market vulnerabilities.

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Does the January CPI report signal a shift in inflation?

Explore the January CPI report's impact on inflation trends and the Fed's stance on interest rates. Discover insights into core inflation, energy prices, labor market dynamics and tariff effects. Understand how these factors influence inflation expectations and the Fed's cautious approach amid potential trade wars. Stay informed on economic indicators and their implications for future monetary policy.

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Can harvesting “tax savings” turn volatility into opportunity?

Discover how savvy investors can turn market volatility into opportunity with active tax management. Learn strategies to harvest tax savings and generate alpha in 2025's unpredictable market landscape.

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How did tariffs and taxes impact profits and performance in 2018?

Robust profit growth expectations and lofty S&P 500 price targets suggest investors are optimistic about 2025. However, there is deep uncertainty around how tariffs and tax reform may unfold, but 2018 can offer clues as to how these policies could impact profits, corporate activity, and market performance.

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How might China respond to escalating trade tensions with the U.S.?

After a stimulus-fueled rally in 3Q24, Chinese equities have recently stumbled, declining 3.2% since the U.S. election. Domestically, challenges like policy uncertainty and real estate sluggishness persist, while externally, new risks are emerging.

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Why did the Federal Reserve hold rates steady in its first meeting of the year?

Washington has been a hub of excitement for investors in recent weeks. However, the January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting provided a welcome change of pace with few surprises.

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DeepSeek or Swim: Has the AI thesis fundamentally changed?

A Chinese startup has disrupted the AI landscape and sent shockwaves through markets. DeepSeek, a newly released large-language model (LLM), challenges the dominance of tech giants by boasting similar performance despite using less sophisticated chips and functioning at a fraction of the cost.

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How would tariffs impact Mexico and Canada?

Mexico and Canada took the spotlight this week after President Trump announced plans to impose 25% tariffs on its USMCA partners starting February 1st., as well as an investigation into unfair trade practices by China and others.

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What is the outlook for 4Q24 earnings season?

High hopes for the U.S. equity market this year are underpinned by expectations of robust corporate profits, and early indications of 4Q24 earnings have not disappointed.

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Will the Southern California wildfires impact the current economic expansion?

Natural disasters impose severe hardships on families and communities, and our thoughts are with those affected by the wildfires in Southern California.

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Are investors overlooking the long-term potential of healthcare stocks?

Over the past two years, healthcare stocks have experienced significant outflows and underperformance relative to the broader market, despite positive catalysts like innovation and weight-loss drugs.

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Was the yield curve inversion wrong in predicting a U.S. recession?

The spread between the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, commonly referred to as the yield curve spread, is a vital indicator in financial markets and is closely monitored by investors and the Federal Reserve, particularly given the historical efficacy of its inversion predicting U.S. recessions.

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The year in review: what happened in 2024?

2024 was a busy year. Global economic growth diverged amidst elevated uncertainty; nearly half of the world's population went to the polls, igniting debates around policy; inflation eased across major economies, with policymakers seemingly successful in engineering a "soft landing"; and risk assets performed well, though the dispersion of returns across asset classes widened.

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How should investors think about tariffs in 2025?

To conclude the year, tariffs have once again become a focal point, with Google searches for the term spiking in November and December.

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Why did the Federal Reserve deliver a hawkish cut?

At its final meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to reduce the Federal funds rate by 0.25% to a target range of 4.25%-4.50%, cutting rates by a 100 basis points (bps) or 300bps annualized in 2024.

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What is driving recent productivity growth, and can it last?

As Paul Krugman famously stated in 1990, “Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything.” By boosting productivity, an economy can enhance its standard of living by producing more with the same or fewer resources. In essence, productivity is a key driver of economic prosperity.

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How is the AI building boom fueling opportunities in private energy infrastructure?

Today, investors are trying to understand the “series of tubes” that enable artificial intelligence. Behind every interaction with an AI tool is not only a complex web of digital neural networks, but also a humming physical network of data centers, electricity lines and power plants.

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How might policy changes impact alternative investments?

The alternative investment landscape often evolves gradually. Assets may be priced infrequently and therefore are less sensitive to day-to-day market moves.

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