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Asset class views from our senior investors
Global Asset Allocation Views 2Q 2023
Subtrend growth and elevated recession risks call for cautious allocation. Our highest conviction call is to be overweight duration. We modestly underweight equity and take a neutral stance on credit, preferring investment grade to high yield.
Global Fixed Income Views 2Q 2023
Recession remains our base case, at 60% probability, as central bankers say they will fight inflation aggressively. We lowered Crisis to 5% and raised Sub Trend Growth to 35%, acknowledging the global economy’s resilience.
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The economic importance of biodiversity: Threats and opportunities
Biodiversity—an essential for life, especially food production—is being harmed by human impacts. Investors can help as new global commitments, metrics and initiatives emerge and companies improving biodiversity present new investing opportunities.