Insights

Where do oil prices go from here?

Explore expert insights on the US-Iran stand-off, Middle East supply routes and strategies for portfolio resilience amid rising geopolitical risks.

Is the Fed permanently on hold or just buying time?

Discover how the Federal Reserve’s latest FOMC meeting impacts U.S. monetary policy, interest rates and inflation. Explore expert insights on economic outlook and what it means for investors.

Could rising AI debt derail the investment boom?

Explore how artificial intelligence is reshaping capital spending and debt markets in asset management. Discover key investment strategies, risks and the impact of AI infrastructure volatility on future returns.

How can portfolios build resilience to AI, inflation and rising deficits?

Learn how to build a resilient portfolio using insights from the 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions. Discover smart approaches to diversification and asset allocation for AI, inflation and rising deficits.

Are companies benefiting from AI adoption?

Learn how AI adoption is influencing earnings, portfolio diversification and investment strategies. Discover the four key traits that distinguish early leaders in the AI space.

Why are institutional investors turning to forests and farmland?

Discover how natural capital investments in timberland, farmland and other real assets offer diversification and sustainable returns for investors seeking alternatives to tech-driven markets.

When will higher Treasury yields pressure equities?

Learn how rising Treasury yields may pressure equities and what investors should watch as interest rates, inflation and Federal Reserve policy shape market performance. Explore the evolving connection between stocks and AI-driven market trends.

How do markets perform post-midterms?

Discover how U.S. midterm elections impact equity markets, earnings growth and Federal Reserve policy. Explore expert insights on economic outlook and investment strategies for navigating market uncertainty.

Are data centers to blame for higher electricity bills?

Are data centers driving up your electricity bills? Learn about the factors affecting energy prices, household costs and the role of AI in power consumption.

Can international diversification benefits be accessed in a tax-efficient way?

The U.S. equity market is more concentrated than ever, with over 50% tied to AI. Find out how to diversify internationally, manage taxes efficiently and access new investment opportunities in global markets.

Why are Growth and Value diverging so much this year?

Explore how the AI theme is driving market trends. Learn about Growth vs Value performance, Russell 1000 index shifts and the impact of semiconductors and hyperscalers on investment strategies.

How will higher rates affect private credit?

Curious about how higher interest rates affect private credit and fixed income investments? Explore expert insights on bond yields, portfolio strategies and the Federal Reserve’s influence on credit markets.

Why is the Federal Reserve raising interest rates?

Get expert insights on the Federal Reserve’s September meeting, rate hikes and economic projections. Find out how global central banks, inflation and rising yields are influencing investment decisions.

Why are AI labs raising red flags around AI safety?

AI safety concerns are reshaping the tech landscape. Discover how regulation, market reactions and investment strategies are evolving in response to artificial intelligence risks.

How is the U.S.-China AI race evolving?

Discover how agentic AI and Chinese open-weight models are transforming AI cost efficiency and enterprise adoption. Explore the latest trends in the U.S. and China AI competition.

How much of the AI boom is adding to U.S. growth?

AI investment is booming, but how much is it really boosting U.S. growth? Dive into the data, GDP impacts, productivity and Fed implications.

How dependent is the U.S. on China for the AI buildout?

Stay ahead with expert analysis on U.S.-China AI trends, trade dynamics and investment strategies. Understand how technology and policy are reshaping global economic competitiveness.

What are the tax advantages of real estate funds?

Explore the tax advantages of real estate funds and REITs, including deductions, depreciation and capital gains benefits for investors seeking higher after-tax returns.

Are technicals amplifying market exuberance?

Explore how leveraged ETFs and thematic ETFs are amplifying market volatility and investor exuberance. Learn what momentum investing means for today’s dynamic markets.

Can credit markets absorb the AI buildout?

Learn how hyperscaler free cash flow, corporate bond issuance and AI-linked financing are transforming the US investment grade credit market and influencing tech spreads.

Is the Fed preparing to raise interest rates?

Explore key takeaways from the latest Fed meeting. Find out Chairman Warsh’s views on the economy and where interest rates may go in the near future.

Does the AI boom still have room to run?

Is the AI boom over or just getting started? Get expert analysis on AI market volatility, investment opportunities and the future of artificial intelligence stocks.

What’s behind the surge in global earnings growth?

Discover what’s fueling global earnings growth in 2026, from the AI investment boom and rising energy prices to currency shifts, resilient economies and improved corporate governance. See how emerging markets, the U.S., the Eurozone and Japan are exceeding expectations, even amid global challenges.

How do markets perform in midterm election years?

Discover how U.S. stock markets perform during midterm election years. Learn about historical trends, volatility and why staying focused on fundamentals is key for investors.

Where are markets headed in the second half of 2026?

Stay informed on 2026 market predictions. Review AI course corrections, stagflation risks, and growth prospects, plus practical asset allocation guidance for investors seeking stability and income.

How does the Russell rebalance impact portfolios?

Understand the Russell index reconstitution and its influence on portfolio risk, sector shifts, and benchmark strategies. Get expert insights on managing concentration risk and optimizing asset allocation.

A new chapter for the Fed?

Learn about Kevin Warsh’s debut as Federal Reserve Chair, the FOMC’s unanimous rate decision, and new economic projections. Find out how these changes affect inflation, employment, and financial markets.

How might mega-cap IPOs affect markets?

Mega-cap IPOs are set to transform markets and stock indices. Find out how these large listings affect volatility, index inclusion and investor portfolios.

Why is the job market so tough for recent college graduates?

Recent college graduates face a tough job market in 2026, with rising unemployment and fewer opportunities in tech and finance. Discover the real reasons behind the skills mismatch, AI’s impact, and shifting hiring trends in the U.S. economy.

What does the Iran conflict mean for defense & security investing?

Discover how the Iran conflict is reshaping defense and security investing. Explore how rising munitions demand and new opportunities in military technology are impacting modern warfare.

What’s the best way to save for college?

Learn how to outpace college inflation with effective savings and investment strategies. Find out how 529 plans offer tax advantages, flexibility and simplify the path to funding higher education.

How extreme is market concentration?

Discover how record earnings, soaring markets, and S&P 500 concentration impact portfolio risk. Learn strategies to manage volatility and hidden overlaps in today’s investment landscape.

Which strategies outperform during turmoil?

The Strait of Hormuz closure is driving up freight rates and rerouting global trade. Discover how longer voyages and higher freight rates are presenting opportunities for investors.

How inflationary is the oil price spike?

Understand the effects of rising oil prices on U.S. inflation and the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Get expert insights on energy shocks, CPI forecasts and market risks.

What should investors expect from the Trump-Xi meeting in China?

Find out what the U.S.-China summit means for tariffs, export controls and global supply chains. Get expert insights on market trends, investment strategies and the future of international trade.

What might change under a Warsh-led Federal Reserve?

Discover how Kevin Warsh could reshape monetary policy, interest rates and market outlook. Learn what investors should expect from changes in Fed communication, inflation focus and asset allocation strategies.

Are stocks repeating last year’s rally?

Discover how the 2026 stock market rally mirrors previous market trends. Explore sector performance, AI impact, political events and S&P 500 earnings growth in this in-depth analysis.

What is a semi-liquid fund?

Curious about investing in private markets? Discover how semi-liquid funds like interval funds, tender offer funds, non-traded BDCs and REITs are making private investments more accessible.

What does market volatility mean for portfolio tax bills?

Explore expert tips on tax-loss harvesting, portfolio drift and year-round tax planning for investors. Find out how to manage capital gains and maximize refunds with smart investment strategies.

Is AI running out of compute?

Explore how the rise of agentic AI is driving unprecedented compute demand, causing shortages in chips, power and data center infrastructure. Learn what this means for AI investment and business strategy.

What’s the earnings outlook for the first quarter of 2026?

Stay ahead with the latest S&P 500 earnings outlook for the first quarter of 2026. Explore sector growth trends, profit forecasts and key market insights to guide your investment decisions.

What is happening in private credit?

Private credit is under scrutiny—find out what’s driving investor concerns, how software industry changes can impact portfolios and why private credit remains attractive for long-term investors.

Which bonds should investors buy after the rise in Treasury yields?

Navigate the risks and opportunities in bond investing after Treasury yields surge. See why short- and intermediate-term bonds may offer the best value in today’s market.

Can the Iran war disrupt AI chip production?

The Iran conflict is reshaping global markets—find out how surging oil prices, helium shortages and supply chain disruptions could affecti AI chip production and the semiconductor sector.

What’s happening to stocks beneath the index?

Uncover the hidden volatility and sector dispersion beneath the S&P 500’s surface. Learn how geopolitical risks and AI anxieties are presenting opportunities in 2026.

How will energy companies react to higher oil prices?

Explore how energy sector profits and oil price swings shape the US economic outlook and investment opportunities.

Has conflict in the Middle East changed the Fed’s policy outlook?

Middle East risks keep the Fed hawkish as the March FOMC holds rates, with markets repricing rate cuts. Explore implications for the US economy and fixed income.

What does an oil shock mean for the dollar, gold and Bitcoin?

Energy disruption adds volatility to assets, yet the case for disciplined diversification strengthens as yields rise and growth remains uncertain.

What is the outlook for energy stocks?

Discover how geopolitical conflicts impact the energy sector, the S&P 500 and oil prices—and what investors should watch going forward.

Is AI already driving productivity growth?

Discover what is driving US productivity higher and how AI may be affecting it. Learn the key drivers today and what this means for markets.

What is quantum computing?

Discover how quantum’s long timelines and reliability gaps can fuel volatility—and how selective, diversified exposure helps investors limit drawdowns.

Does war in Iran change the 2026 outlook?

Discover how Iran’s conflict can drive inflation and volatility through energy shocks—and how diversification helps investors limit drawdowns.

Who wins if Fannie and Freddie go public?

Discover who stands to gain if Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac go public. Explore the impact of their IPO on mortgage rates, agency MBS, taxpayers and investors in the evolving U.S. housing market.

Are value stocks staging a comeback?

Explore why value stocks are gaining momentum in 2026. Get insights on how rate cuts, fiscal easing and AI capex lift cyclicals and broaden market leadership.

What does AI disruption mean for investors?

Explore the drivers behind the abrupt sell-off in software stocks in early 2026. Get insights on how shifting IT budgets toward AI infrastructure are reshaping sector allocation trends and the future outlook for private equity and credit investors.

What does the software sell-off mean for private markets?

Explore the drivers behind the abrupt sell-off in software stocks in early 2026. Get expert insights on AI disruption, sector allocation trends and the future outlook for private equity and credit investors.

Will emerging market equities emerge as another top performer this year?

Uncover the factors behind the impressive performance of emerging market equities in 2026. Get expert insights on earnings growth, macro trends and the future investment outlook.

Did January labor market data change the outlook for the economy and policy?

Discover how the January jobs report impacts the U.S. economic outlook and Federal Reserve policy. Explore key labor market trends, payroll growth and unemployment rate changes for 2026.

Investors seeking resilience should consider a quality bias

Explore how investing in quality stocks can build resilient portfolios, offering stability and outperformance in uncertain market conditions.

What is next for the Federal Reserve?

Stay updated on the latest FOMC meeting: The Federal Reserve holds rates steady at 3.50%–3.75%, signaling a hawkish stance amid solid economic growth and stable unemployment. Discover what this means for inflation, fiscal stimulus and future rate cuts.

What’s different about this commodity cycle?

Explore the divergence between metals and energy prices in modern markets. Find out what drives commodity volatility and how investors can hedge risks with smart asset allocation.

Is robotics the next frontier for AI?

Explore how robotics is emerging as the next frontier for AI in 2026, shifting market focus from model creators to infrastructure and real-world applications. Discover the technological breakthroughs, economic trends, commercialization challenges and investment opportunities shaping the future of AI-powered robots.

Will MBS purchases from Freddie and Fannie help housing affordability?

Explore the effects of government-backed MBS purchases on mortgage rates and housing affordability. Learn what this means for homebuyers and the future of the U.S. housing market.

How are we evaluating the AI boom?

Explore the latest trends in the AI boom for 2026, including tech stock performance, earnings growth, valuations, adoption rates and investment strategies. Discover why AI remains a compelling opportunity despite market volatility.

Did the December CPI report change the outlook for Fed policy?

Stay updated on the latest December CPI report and its impact on Fed policy. Discover how inflation trends may influence interest rates and the Federal Reserve’s next moves.

How is AI being monetized?

Discover how AI is being monetized across infrastructure and applications, with hyperscalers investing billions in data centers, semiconductors and cloud services. Explore the evolving economics of generative AI, enterprise software pricing strategies and the critical role of diversification for investors in the rapidly expanding AI value chain.

What are the implications of U.S. control over Venezuela?

What does U.S. intervention in Venezuela mean for oil markets, global politics and investors? Discover key insights on geopolitical risks and investment implications in this timely analysis.

Have recent data strengthened the case for a January rate cut?

Get the latest analysis on the Federal Reserve’s potential January rate cut, with insights from November’s jobs and CPI reports. Explore how government shutdown data issues impact unemployment, inflation and monetary policy expectations.

What’s driving stock market returns?

Discover what’s driving S&P 500 stock market returns in 2025. Explore the shift from multiple expansion to robust earnings growth, the evolving impact of the Magnificent 7, and broadening profit growth across sectors like financials, industrials, utilities and materials. Learn how market volatility and sector selection shape investment strategies for a resilient equity market.

Is the Fed finished cutting rates?

The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate by 0.25% at its December meeting, signaling a continued easing bias for 2026. Explore the FOMC’s latest Summary of Economic Projections, inflation and GDP growth outlook and insights from Chairman Powell on monetary policy, risk assets and the bond market.

What is the outlook for hedge funds in 2026?

Explore the 2026 outlook for hedge funds with insights on active management, alpha generation and diversification. Learn how market trends, rate volatility and global macro strategies are shaping investment opportunities.

Is AI really driving an increase in layoffs?

Discover the real impact of AI on layoffs in 2025. This expert analysis explores whether artificial intelligence is truly driving job losses or simply reshaping the workforce, with data-backed insights on industry trends, affected roles and the future of employment.

Is the low-quality rally sputtering out?

Explore the recent reversal in the low-quality stock rally and discover why fundamentals matter in today’s market. Learn how speculative sectors like AI, crypto and biotech have performed versus quality stocks and get insights on where investors should focus for sustainable returns.

Are rate cuts helping consumers?

Discover why recent Federal Reserve rate cuts aren’t boosting consumer spending as expected. Explore the impact on holiday shopping, household debt and interest income in our latest market analysis.

Will nuclear power AI data centers?

Can nuclear power solve the energy crisis for AI data centers? Uncover the challenges, investment opportunities and market impact of uranium and small modular reactors in the U.S.

Is AI-related debt an issuer problem or a concern for broader credit markets?

Is Big Tech’s AI-driven bond issuance a threat to credit markets? Explore expert insights on AI-related debt, sector concentration and opportunities for investors in today’s investment-grade credit market.

How could the Supreme Court ruling affect tariffs?

Discover how the Supreme Court’s ruling on IEEPA tariffs could impact U.S. trade policy, global tariff rates and market volatility. Learn what new tariff powers the administration may use and what it means for businesses and investors.

Who will win the AI race?

Discover which country is leading the global AI race—US or China. Explore key trends in artificial intelligence, technology investment and Asia’s growing influence in robotics and automation.

What is a stablecoin?

Uncover the significance of stablecoins in today's financial landscape, offering stability and efficiency in decentralized transactions. Explore the GENIUS Act's role in shaping regulatory frameworks, stablecoins' applications in cross-border payments and blockchain marketplaces, and their impact on U.S. government debt and global finance.

What kind of equities should I own if inflation is rising?

The remainder of 2021 should see an acceleration in economic activity, rising inflation, and higher interest rates. In general, this dynamic should support the outperformance of value relative to growth, with attractive relative valuations acting as an additional tailwind for value outperformance.

What does post-COVID leverage mean for investing?

While many changes are likely to emerge, one clear trend, with far-reaching macro and market implications, is the increase in leverage, says Azzarello.

Should I expect a market correction?

The S&P 500 has marched steadily higher from its March 23rd low against a backdrop of investor skepticism. In previous posts, we have discussed how this rally is being driven by three things.

Will the Fed cause inflation?

The balance sheet of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has increased by 2.9 trillion USD since the start of March, meaning that in just over eleven weeks it has grown more than it did in the five years following the Financial Crisis.

Has all EM behaved the same way this year?

Year-to-date, emerging market (EM) equities are down -17.6%, as a combination of the COVID-19 recession and the oil price shock has led to downward revisions to earnings expectations, as well as weaker currencies relative to the U.S. dollar.

Is now the time to invest in small cap stocks?

Global markets have roiled in the face of COVID-19 and social distancing, and many investors are looking to “pick up the pieces,” eagerly hunting for the next big opportunity.

Why are oil prices negative?

Earlier this week, oil prices turned negative for the first time in history, with WTI trading as low as -$37 a barrel.

What will the reopening of the economy look like?

Over the past two months investors have digested the COVID-19 shock: the fast spread of the virus around the world, the social distancing measures implemented and the resulting economic and earnings recession.

1Q20 earnings: Virus oddity

1Q20 earnings season will provide an important first look at how the ongoing pause in global activity is impacting corporate earnings.

What does COVID-19 mean for real estate?

The industries most impacted by social distancing account for 20% of payroll employment, and consumer spending across those industries account for 20% of GDP.

What are the risks and opportunities in high yield?

Today’s objectively complicated credit market may be an excellent source of future portfolio growth, says Dryden.

Will American small business fire its workers?

Ultimately, how high the unemployment rate gets is dependent on one key question: will American small business fire its workers, says Manley.

A COVID-driven spike in claims

Initial claims for unemployment insurance surged to the highest level ever: 3,283,000, spiking from a slightly revised 282,000 last week.

The COVID-19 Relief Bill-Holding the Economy in Suspended Animation

This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly, reviews the U.S> relief bill and its investment implications.

What is the Fed doing and what does it mean for fixed income?

The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has pulled out its alphabet bazooka in an effort to ensure sufficient liquidity and the smooth functioning of financial markets, while also providing credit to businesses that are affected by the spread of COVID-19 and the stall in global economic activity.

What will an earnings recession look like?

As economists continue to revise down their 2020 GDP estimates, a lot of clients have been asking us about the potential impact on earnings.

Can the Fed do more?

This past Sunday, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) fired a last desperate salvo in an attempt to stabilize financial conditions, the second emergency inter-meeting cut in two weeks.

What policy response would help to stabilize markets?

Coming into this year, we expected an improvement in global economic growth, as 2019’s policy uncertainty clouds dissipated.

The investment implications of COVID-19: An update

The COVID-19 crisis confirms, once again, the value of a diversified portfolio, says David Kelly.

Should I buy the dip?

There is not a clear answer. However, what we can provide perspective on, is where we are finding value, according to David Lebovitz.

How does Super Tuesday affect the election campaign ahead?

Former Vice President Joe Biden made a surprise comeback during the Super Tuesday contests, paving the way for a two-person race to the Democratic nomination.

What do you like more, value or growth?

Equity investors spend a lot time looking for where earnings growth will be strong; what doesn't get as much attention is what happens after they're generated.

Should investors worry about the jobs market?

Taken at face value, the fall in job openings is concerning and warrants careful monitoring.

What does the coronavirus mean for investors?

Financial markets have fallen sharply on concerns of the coronavirus, a respiratory illness first identified in Wuhan, China, spreading globally.

What is priced in to equity markets?

Equity market valuations have risen substantially in recent months, with the forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 now at a level of 18.6x.

Should investors worry about inflation?

Investors are now asking whether inflation could return, threatening the rally in financial markets.

Should I wait to buy the dip?

Buying the dip - the coveted strategy (almost) all investors like to employ.

Will tensions with Iran cause an oil spike?

Rising geopolitical tensions with Iran have led to some fears over potential oil supply shocks out of the Middle East.

Why should I stay invested?

Rising geopolitical tensions with Iran have led to some fears over potential oil supply shocks out of the Middle East.

Investment Vehicles

Investment Options

Capabilities & Solutions

Market Insights

Portfolio Insights

Retirement Insights

ETF Insights

About us

<p>Insights to empower better decisions</p>

Our flagship Insights

Guide to the Markets

Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

Guide to Alternatives

Featured Portfolio Insights

Global Asset Allocation Views 4Q 2026

Factor Views 3Q 2026

Global Fixed Income Views 4Q 2026

Global Equity Views 4Q 2026

Investment Vehicles

Investment Options

Capabilities & Solutions

Market Insights

Portfolio Insights

Retirement Insights

ETF Insights

About us

<p>Insights to empower better decisions</p>

Our flagship Insights

Guide to the Markets

Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

Guide to Alternatives

Market Commentary

Where do oil prices go from here?

Is the Fed permanently on hold or just buying time?

Could rising AI debt derail the investment boom?

How can portfolios build resilience to AI, inflation and rising deficits?

Are companies benefiting from AI adoption?

Why are institutional investors turning to forests and farmland?

When will higher Treasury yields pressure equities?

How do markets perform post-midterms?

Are data centers to blame for higher electricity bills?

Can international diversification benefits be accessed in a tax-efficient way?

Why are Growth and Value diverging so much this year?

How will higher rates affect private credit?

Why is the Federal Reserve raising interest rates?

Why are AI labs raising red flags around AI safety?

How is the U.S.-China AI race evolving?

How much of the AI boom is adding to U.S. growth?

How dependent is the U.S. on China for the AI buildout?

What are the tax advantages of real estate funds?

Are technicals amplifying market exuberance?

Can credit markets absorb the AI buildout?

Is the Fed preparing to raise interest rates?

Does the AI boom still have room to run?

What’s behind the surge in global earnings growth?

How do markets perform in midterm election years?

Where are markets headed in the second half of 2026?

How does the Russell rebalance impact portfolios?

A new chapter for the Fed?

How might mega-cap IPOs affect markets?

Why is the job market so tough for recent college graduates?

What does the Iran conflict mean for defense & security investing?

What’s the best way to save for college?

How extreme is market concentration?

Which strategies outperform during turmoil?

How inflationary is the oil price spike?

What should investors expect from the Trump-Xi meeting in China?

What might change under a Warsh-led Federal Reserve?

Are stocks repeating last year’s rally?

What is a semi-liquid fund?

What does market volatility mean for portfolio tax bills?

Is AI running out of compute?

What’s the earnings outlook for the first quarter of 2026?

What is happening in private credit?

Which bonds should investors buy after the rise in Treasury yields?

Can the Iran war disrupt AI chip production?

What’s happening to stocks beneath the index?

How will energy companies react to higher oil prices?

Has conflict in the Middle East changed the Fed’s policy outlook?

What does an oil shock mean for the dollar, gold and Bitcoin?

What is the outlook for energy stocks?

Is AI already driving productivity growth?

What is quantum computing?

Does war in Iran change the 2026 outlook?

Who wins if Fannie and Freddie go public?

Are value stocks staging a comeback?

What does AI disruption mean for investors?

What does the software sell-off mean for private markets?

Will emerging market equities emerge as another top performer this year?

Did January labor market data change the outlook for the economy and policy?

Investors seeking resilience should consider a quality bias

What is next for the Federal Reserve?

What’s different about this commodity cycle?

Is robotics the next frontier for AI?

Will MBS purchases from Freddie and Fannie help housing affordability?

How are we evaluating the AI boom?

Did the December CPI report change the outlook for Fed policy?

How is AI being monetized?