Explore the recent reversal in the low-quality stock rally and discover why fundamentals matter in today’s market. Learn how speculative sectors like AI, crypto and biotech have performed versus quality stocks and get insights on where investors should focus for sustainable returns.
Discover why recent Federal Reserve rate cuts aren’t boosting consumer spending as expected. Explore the impact on holiday shopping, household debt and interest income in our latest market analysis.
Can nuclear power solve the energy crisis for AI data centers? Uncover the challenges, investment opportunities and market impact of uranium and small modular reactors in the U.S.
Is Big Tech’s AI-driven bond issuance a threat to credit markets? Explore expert insights on AI-related debt, sector concentration and opportunities for investors in today’s investment-grade credit market.
Discover how the Supreme Court’s ruling on IEEPA tariffs could impact U.S. trade policy, global tariff rates and market volatility. Learn what new tariff powers the administration may use and what it means for businesses and investors.
Discover which country is leading the global AI race—US or China. Explore key trends in artificial intelligence, technology investment and Asia’s growing influence in robotics and automation.
Discover the latest insights on the Federal Reserve’s October interest rate cut and what to expect at the December meeting. Learn how the government shutdown, inflation trends and funding market stress could impact future rate decisions.
Learn how rare earth metals drive AI and tech advancements, the effects of U.S.-China trade tensions and what investors need to know about this dynamic market.
Discover how recent defaults in the auto sector and leveraged loans are impacting private credit markets. Learn what investors should watch for and how to manage credit risk in today’s evolving landscape.
Discover how evolving U.S. economic policies, global trends like economic nationalism, fiscal activism and AI adoption are reshaping investment strategies. J.P. Morgan’s latest insights reveal why traditional 60/40 portfolios may fall short and how diversified alternatives can enhance resilience and returns. Learn how to future-proof your portfolio for the next decade with thought leadership from J.P. Morgan.
Circular spending is accelerating in AI, but does it mean a bubble is forming? Explore how overlapping partnerships among hyperscalers, chipmakers and model developers are reshaping artificial intelligence markets with robust fundamentals.
Private equity firms are changing the game in sports. Learn about the rise in minority stakes, booming team valuations and the financial appeal of investing in professional leagues.
Uncover the reasons behind record-high U.S. stock market valuations and learn expert strategies for portfolio diversification into value stocks, international equities and corporate credit for stronger returns.
Learn how to optimize your portfolio for tax efficiency during capital gains season. Find out why ETFs outperform mutual funds in tax savings and how tax loss harvesting can help you keep more of your returns.
Wondering which rates will drop as the Fed cuts? Explore expert insights on the yield curve, Treasury yields and smart investment strategies for a changing bond market.
Why is AI infrastructure spend soaring? Dive into the factors behind rising compute demand, the impact of hyperscalers and the changing business models shaping the future of artificial intelligence.
Discover how Federal Reserve interest rate cuts impact alternative investments like private equity, venture capital, private credit, real assets and hedge funds. Learn what investors should consider in today’s changing market.
A potential U.S. government shutdown could shake markets and investor confidence. Read our analysis of potential impacts on stocks, bonds, and economic indicators.
Fed rate cuts are here—find out which rates are falling, which stocks to watch, and which regions may outperform. Get actionable investment insights for today’s market.
Explore the latest Federal Reserve rate cut, its impact on economic growth, inflation and Fed independence. Learn what this means for investors and market trends in 2025.
Discover how artificial intelligence (AI) is driving U.S. economic growth in 2025, with record investments in data centers, tech hardware, and infrastructure. Explore the impact of AI on GDP, business investment, and the future of the American economy.
Explore four potential market scenarios—accelerating growth, slow stability, recession, and stagflation—and see how each could influence your portfolio. Find actionable advice for navigating economic uncertainty.
Is the U.S. stock market overheated? Uncover insights on market cap-to-GDP ratios, tech sector influence, and smart investment moves for 2025. Learn how shifting market dynamics and sector concentration could impact your portfolio and discover strategies to manage risk and seize new opportunities.
Understand the benefits of a declining USD for emerging markets. Explore how EM equities are thriving with improved capital flows and enhanced returns. Get insights into the structural and cyclical factors driving EM growth.
Private equity vs. small cap stocks: Which offers better growth potential? Delve into the evolving investment landscape and discover where growth investors should focus their attention.
Stay informed on the U.S. dollar's trajectory in 2025 with our comprehensive updated analysis. Discover how policy uncertainty, fluctuating growth rates and shifting global capital flows are shaping currency value and influencing investor strategies.
July CPI inflation report reveals headline and core inflation surprises, impacting Federal Reserve policy. Key factors include tariff-related price pressures, energy prices and core services dynamics. Explore the influence of seasonal components, equity prices and fiscal stimulus on potential interest rate cuts and economic indicators.
Explore the impact of AI on the workforce in 2025, where AI adoption is transforming roles rather than eliminating them. Uncover the macroeconomic factors contributing to the U.S. hiring slowdown and gain insights into the future of AI-driven job creation and evolving skill demands.
Explore the July FOMC meeting insights where the Federal funds rate remains steady. Discover the reasons behind the dissenting votes, Chair Powell's stance on Fed independence, and the economic outlook amid tariff impacts. Stay informed on potential September rate cuts and market expectations.
Discover how August's pivotal tariff deadlines could impact global trade and investment strategies. Explore key dates, including new reciprocal tariffs on major trade partners, U.S.-China negotiations and potential court rulings. Learn how these developments affect market trends, corporate earnings and the importance of diversification and active management. Stay informed on economic resilience and inflation hedging opportunities.
Explore the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and its impact on the economy, tax policy, government spending, and deficits. Discover how the OBBBA's tax cuts, spending changes, and debt ceiling adjustments could influence growth, inflation, and the labor market. Understand the potential effects on corporate profits, social programs, and investment strategies. Stay informed on the latest fiscal policy shifts and market reactions.
Uncover the significance of stablecoins in today's financial landscape, offering stability and efficiency in decentralized transactions. Explore the GENIUS Act's role in shaping regulatory frameworks, stablecoins' applications in cross-border payments and blockchain marketplaces, and their impact on U.S. government debt and global finance.
Discover how shifting consumer spending patterns are shaping investment opportunities in 2025, with insights into resilient retail sectors and emerging trends like simple luxuries. Learn how high-income consumer behavior and economic factors like inflation are influencing the U.S. economic outlook and stock selection strategies.
Discover how a higher-for-longer interest rate policy impacts real estate investments, from market repricing to supply shocks and asset quality dispersion. Learn why selectivity in asset ownership is crucial in today's evolving economic landscape.
Explore the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the Federal Funds Rate at 4.25%-4.50% during the June FOMC meeting. Understand the economic outlook, inflation, unemployment projections and the implications for investors amidst trade negotiations and fiscal stimulus uncertainties.
Explore the advantages of global fixed income for U.S. investors, including hedging premiums and diversification benefits. Learn how Japanese government bonds and other global markets can offer higher yields when hedged back to U.S. dollars. Discover the structural features of global markets and the importance of active management in today's economic environment.
Explore the driving forces behind the U.S. equities rally, including retail investors and corporate buybacks, as the S&P 500 overcomes volatility. Understand market valuation, earnings growth and economic uncertainty in the context of tariffs and Federal Reserve policies.
Explore the potential of emerging market equities in 2025 as they outperform developed markets, driven by solid fundamentals, easing trade tensions and technological innovation. Discover insights on portfolio diversification, currency valuation and the impact of AI adoption on investment strategies.
Discover how businesses are leveraging AI to enhance operational efficiency and drive innovation. Explore the latest advancements from tech giants like Microsoft and Google and learn how sectors such as financial services are integrating AI for compliance, risk management and client service.
Discover how value stocks can "policy-proof" portfolios amidst market volatility and policy changes. Explore insights on tariffs, reindustrialization and deregulation, and learn how diversified equity exposure strengthens portfolios in dynamic market conditions. Ideal for investors seeking strategies to navigate economic uncertainties and capitalize on market opportunities.
Explore the implications of Moody's recent downgrade of the United States credit rating from Aaa to Aa1. Understand how this shift impacts market volatility, fiscal policy and investor strategies. Discover key takeaways for global diversification and insights into the U.S.'s fiscal challenges. Stay informed with expert analysis on the evolving financial landscape and its effects on investment opportunities.
Against a backdrop of shifting tariffs and the rewriting of trade relationships, global currencies have been in flux. Entering 2024 at a two-year high, the U.S. dollar index has since surrendered over 7% of its value against a basket of major currencies.
Explore the latest developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations, including temporary tariff reductions and their impact on global markets. Understand key issues such as trade deficits, fentanyl tariffs and strategic product considerations that could shape future economic policies and international relations.
Explore the resilience of private credit as it faces potential economic challenges. Discover how this $1.6 trillion asset class has grown, the risks it faces today and the strategies investors can use to navigate higher interest rates, tariffs and economic uncertainty.
Explore the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at its May meeting, despite economic uncertainties and tariff impacts. Understand the implications for future policy adjustments and how investors can navigate the current financial landscape.
Explore how recent U.S. policy changes are reshaping global investment strategies. Discover the role of international equities as key diversifiers amid economic uncertainty and learn about the shifting dynamics in global equity returns, currency movements and market expectations in 2025.
Explore the implications of the U.S. AI Diffusion Rule on semiconductor investments, as new export controls reshape global chip supply chains, impact tech stocks and challenge geopolitical dynamics.
Explore the history of U.S. tariff policies and their economic impacts in this insightful blog by Mary Park Durham. From the McKinley tariffs of 1890 to the Smoot-Hawley Act of 1930, discover how past tariff experiments shaped industries, consumer prices, and trade relations.
Explore strategies for investors to diversify portfolios during market volatility with liquid alternatives, risk management and tactical asset allocation for capital preservation and potential gains.
Discover the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields influenced by Federal Reserve policy and inflationary trade war effects. Learn about the market dynamics and investment opportunities amidst these changes.
Explore how global markets and countries are responding to recent U.S. tariff announcements, with insights into China's retaliatory measures, the European Union's strategic delays, and Southeast Asia's conciliatory approaches.
Explore the vulnerabilities of mega-cap tech stocks amid rising tariff tensions and global supply chain disruptions. Discover how trade wars and economic shifts are impacting market dynamics, investor strategies, and the future of AI-driven innovation in 2025.
Discover the effects of President Trump's new tariffs on global trade and investment strategies. Learn about potential economic impacts and how to navigate trade turmoil with diversification and active management.
Discover the key market dynamics of 1Q 2025, including tariff uncertainty, trade policies, and economic projections, and their impact on U.S. and international markets, commodities, and investor sentiment.
Explore the industrial sector's outlook post-election, exploring reshoring, energy and M&A impacts, with insights on key opportunities and challenges for investors.
Discover investment opportunities from the ASCE's 2025 Report Card, which rates U.S. infrastructure a C grade. Learn how infrastructure investments offer stability, inflation protection and potential in public-private partnerships and energy transitions.
Explore the Federal Reserve's March 2025 policy decisions, economic outlook, and investment strategies amidst rising uncertainty and stagflation risks.
Explore the potential market scenarios in 2025 with Meera Pandit's insightful analysis on tariff turmoil, trade truces, tax cuts, tech tumbles, and inflation spikes. Discover how these scenarios could impact equities, yields, and your investment portfolio. Learn about the importance of diversification and alternative investments in navigating volatile markets.
Traditional investment wisdom holds that when stocks zig, bonds zag, creating natural portfolio diversification. However, when inflation becomes the focus of investors and central banks, this relationship can break down.
Discover the driving forces behind the impressive 15.1% rise in Eurozone equities in 2025. Explore how fiscal policies, structural changes and key sectors like Defense and Aerospace and Banks are fueling growth. Learn about the impact of geopolitical events, government spending and market dynamics on Eurozone's economic outlook. Stay informed with expert insights and analysis on the sustainability of this market rally.
Explore the February Jobs Report with insights into payroll growth, sector performance, unemployment trends, and wage dynamics. Understand the implications for investors and the Federal Reserve amidst economic uncertainties. Ideal for institutional clients and qualified investors seeking a comprehensive analysis of current labor market conditions.
Explore the investment implications of recent tariff increases amidst trade turmoil. Discover strategies for navigating economic uncertainty, including asset diversification, quality risk exposure, and active management. Learn how tariffs impact growth, inflation and key industries, and gain insights into effective investing amidst policy changes.
Explore the AI Capex Boom as leading U.S. tech companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure, driving economic growth and productivity. Discover the implications for investors and the global economy, and learn how to navigate the evolving AI landscape with a diversified approach.
Explore the potential of small cap earnings in 2025 with Meera Pandit's insightful analysis. Discover why small cap stocks, despite an estimated 39% earnings growth, may face significant revisions and challenges. Learn about historical trends, economic factors, and investment strategies that could impact small, mid, and large cap equities.
Explore the sustainability of European equities' strong performance in 2025. Gabriela Santos analyzes the factors driving market gains, including cyclical recovery and structural changes, while highlighting potential risks like U.S. tariffs. Discover insights into global equity valuations and the future of international markets.
Explore the potential impacts of President Trump's "Fair and Reciprocal Plan" on global trade, focusing on how reciprocal tariffs could affect the European Union and emerging markets. Understand the complexities of non-tariff barriers and the economic implications for investors and industries. Stay informed with insights on international trade dynamics and market vulnerabilities.
Explore the January CPI report's impact on inflation trends and the Fed's stance on interest rates. Discover insights into core inflation, energy prices, labor market dynamics and tariff effects. Understand how these factors influence inflation expectations and the Fed's cautious approach amid potential trade wars. Stay informed on economic indicators and their implications for future monetary policy.
Discover how savvy investors can turn market volatility into opportunity with active tax management. Learn strategies to harvest tax savings and generate alpha in 2025's unpredictable market landscape.
Robust profit growth expectations and lofty S&P 500 price targets suggest investors are optimistic about 2025. However, there is deep uncertainty around how tariffs and tax reform may unfold, but 2018 can offer clues as to how these policies could impact profits, corporate activity, and market performance.
After a stimulus-fueled rally in 3Q24, Chinese equities have recently stumbled, declining 3.2% since the U.S. election. Domestically, challenges like policy uncertainty and real estate sluggishness persist, while externally, new risks are emerging.
Washington has been a hub of excitement for investors in recent weeks. However, the January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting provided a welcome change of pace with few surprises.
A Chinese startup has disrupted the AI landscape and sent shockwaves through markets. DeepSeek, a newly released large-language model (LLM), challenges the dominance of tech giants by boasting similar performance despite using less sophisticated chips and functioning at a fraction of the cost.
Mexico and Canada took the spotlight this week after President Trump announced plans to impose 25% tariffs on its USMCA partners starting February 1st., as well as an investigation into unfair trade practices by China and others.
High hopes for the U.S. equity market this year are underpinned by expectations of robust corporate profits, and early indications of 4Q24 earnings have not disappointed.
Natural disasters impose severe hardships on families and communities, and our thoughts are with those affected by the wildfires in Southern California.
Over the past two years, healthcare stocks have experienced significant outflows and underperformance relative to the broader market, despite positive catalysts like innovation and weight-loss drugs.
The spread between the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, commonly referred to as the yield curve spread, is a vital indicator in financial markets and is closely monitored by investors and the Federal Reserve, particularly given the historical efficacy of its inversion predicting U.S. recessions.
2024 was a busy year. Global economic growth diverged amidst elevated uncertainty; nearly half of the world's population went to the polls, igniting debates around policy; inflation eased across major economies, with policymakers seemingly successful in engineering a "soft landing"; and risk assets performed well, though the dispersion of returns across asset classes widened.
To conclude the year, tariffs have once again become a focal point, with Google searches for the term spiking in November and December.
At its final meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to reduce the Federal funds rate by 0.25% to a target range of 4.25%-4.50%, cutting rates by a 100 basis points (bps) or 300bps annualized in 2024.
As Paul Krugman famously stated in 1990, “Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything.” By boosting productivity, an economy can enhance its standard of living by producing more with the same or fewer resources. In essence, productivity is a key driver of economic prosperity.
Today, investors are trying to understand the “series of tubes” that enable artificial intelligence. Behind every interaction with an AI tool is not only a complex web of digital neural networks, but also a humming physical network of data centers, electricity lines and power plants.
The alternative investment landscape often evolves gradually. Assets may be priced infrequently and therefore are less sensitive to day-to-day market moves.
The remainder of 2021 should see an acceleration in economic activity, rising inflation, and higher interest rates. In general, this dynamic should support the outperformance of value relative to growth, with attractive relative valuations acting as an additional tailwind for value outperformance.
While many changes are likely to emerge, one clear trend, with far-reaching macro and market implications, is the increase in leverage, says Azzarello.
The S&P 500 has marched steadily higher from its March 23rd low against a backdrop of investor skepticism. In previous posts, we have discussed how this rally is being driven by three things.
The balance sheet of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has increased by 2.9 trillion USD since the start of March, meaning that in just over eleven weeks it has grown more than it did in the five years following the Financial Crisis.
Year-to-date, emerging market (EM) equities are down -17.6%, as a combination of the COVID-19 recession and the oil price shock has led to downward revisions to earnings expectations, as well as weaker currencies relative to the U.S. dollar.
Global markets have roiled in the face of COVID-19 and social distancing, and many investors are looking to “pick up the pieces,” eagerly hunting for the next big opportunity.
Earlier this week, oil prices turned negative for the first time in history, with WTI trading as low as -$37 a barrel.
Over the past two months investors have digested the COVID-19 shock: the fast spread of the virus around the world, the social distancing measures implemented and the resulting economic and earnings recession.
1Q20 earnings season will provide an important first look at how the ongoing pause in global activity is impacting corporate earnings.
The industries most impacted by social distancing account for 20% of payroll employment, and consumer spending across those industries account for 20% of GDP.
Today’s objectively complicated credit market may be an excellent source of future portfolio growth, says Dryden.
Ultimately, how high the unemployment rate gets is dependent on one key question: will American small business fire its workers, says Manley.
Initial claims for unemployment insurance surged to the highest level ever: 3,283,000, spiking from a slightly revised 282,000 last week.
This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly, reviews the U.S> relief bill and its investment implications.
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has pulled out its alphabet bazooka in an effort to ensure sufficient liquidity and the smooth functioning of financial markets, while also providing credit to businesses that are affected by the spread of COVID-19 and the stall in global economic activity.
As economists continue to revise down their 2020 GDP estimates, a lot of clients have been asking us about the potential impact on earnings.
This past Sunday, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) fired a last desperate salvo in an attempt to stabilize financial conditions, the second emergency inter-meeting cut in two weeks.
Coming into this year, we expected an improvement in global economic growth, as 2019’s policy uncertainty clouds dissipated.
The COVID-19 crisis confirms, once again, the value of a diversified portfolio, says David Kelly.
There is not a clear answer. However, what we can provide perspective on, is where we are finding value, according to David Lebovitz.
Former Vice President Joe Biden made a surprise comeback during the Super Tuesday contests, paving the way for a two-person race to the Democratic nomination.
Equity investors spend a lot time looking for where earnings growth will be strong; what doesn't get as much attention is what happens after they're generated.
Taken at face value, the fall in job openings is concerning and warrants careful monitoring.
Financial markets have fallen sharply on concerns of the coronavirus, a respiratory illness first identified in Wuhan, China, spreading globally.
Equity market valuations have risen substantially in recent months, with the forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 now at a level of 18.6x.
Investors are now asking whether inflation could return, threatening the rally in financial markets.
Buying the dip - the coveted strategy (almost) all investors like to employ.
Rising geopolitical tensions with Iran have led to some fears over potential oil supply shocks out of the Middle East.
Rising geopolitical tensions with Iran have led to some fears over potential oil supply shocks out of the Middle East.
