Index concentration, valuation dispersion, and shifting tides of global capital – driven by geopolitical risks, tariffs, and artificial intelligence – underscore the importance of active stock selection to manage downside risks, seek quality opportunities and strive for enduring alpha in US equities.
Important Information
1. The Fund invests primarily in a concentrated portfolio of US companies.
2. The Fund is therefore exposed to risks related to equity, concentration, currency, derivative, hedging, class currency and currency hedged share classes. For currency hedged share classes, the currency hedging process may not give a precise hedge and there is no guarantee that the hedging will be totally successful.
3. The Fund may at its discretion pay dividends out of capital. The Fund may also at its discretion pay dividends out of gross income while charging all or part of the Fund’s fees and expenses to the capital of the Fund, resulting in an increase in distributable amount for the payment of dividends and therefore, effectively paying dividends out of realised, unrealised capital gains or capital. Investors should note that, share classes of the Fund which pay dividends may distribute not only investment income, but also realised and unrealised capital gains or capital. Payment of dividends out of capital amounts to a return or withdrawal of part of an investor’s original investment or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment. Any dividend payments, irrespective of whether such payment is made up or effectively made up out of income, realised and unrealised capital gains or capital, may result in an immediate reduction of the net asset value per share. Also, a positive distribution yield does not imply a positive return on the total investment.
4. Investors may be subject to substantial losses.
5. Investors should not solely rely on this document to make any investment decision.
Broad strokes miss the details – not all US stocks are expensive
US stock valuations continue to be a common concern among global investors. As illustrated in the chart below, the valuation of the S&P 500 index does appear stretched relative to its own history and in comparison to other regional markets.
As of 31.07.2025, the US equity benchmark is trading around 22x forward price-to-earnings (P/E), close to the peak of its past 15-year range1. The valuation measure exceeds those of other regional equity markets such as Europe, Asia Pacific ex-Japan, Japan, and emerging markets where P/E multiples, though above their 15-year averages, remain meaningfully lower than their respective 15-year peaks.
While S&P 500 valuations have increased, it belies a wide dispersion among its constituents. As the chart below illustrates, there is a wide divergence between the valuations of the top 10 largest constituents of the index and its remaining members1. At 16.8x, the dispersion between the forward P/E valuations of S&P 500 stocks in the 20th and 80th percentile remains meaningfully higher than the long-term average of 11.7x2.
Essentially, valuations could vary widely across individual stocks.
The market is riding on narrow shoulders
Still, the stretched valuations of the S&P 500 index is unsurprising, considering that the 10 largest US companies by market capitalisation account for nearly 40% of the overall index and 32% of earnings, as of 31.07.20252. This compares with 29% of the index by market capitalisation and 20% of earnings just five years ago2. Given these substantial weights, any slowdown or hiccup in their performance may impede the overall progress of the broader benchmark.
Over the years, the US equity market has also gravitated towards areas of innovation, with growth sectors like tech increasingly dominating the S&P 500. In 2014, the broader tech sector, comprising information technology and communication services, represented just 22% of the index3. A decade later, this figure has risen to 42%3. Furthermore, seven of the 10 largest companies by market capitalisation in the US are mega-cap tech giants4. Consequently, over time, the S&P 500, which is a market-capitalisation weighted index, has tilted towards a growth investment style.
Such market concentration and style tilt present risks for a passive or index approach to investing in US equities. It highlights the importance of an intentional and active approach to thoughtfully diversify equity portfolios and reduce concentration in the largest companies while increasing exposure to high-quality and attractively valued opportunities within and across other sectors.
Higher hurdles, greater differentiation
We believe active management will become increasingly critical if we consider the new market environment facing equity investors. For over a decade post the Great Financial Crisis, record low interest rates and quantitative easing had created abnormally low hurdle rates for companies, leading to valuation distortions5. Fast forward to the post-COVID-19 period, a more normalised interest rate environment with higher cost of capital may pose challenges to low quality corporates with weaker balance sheets.
Furthermore, persistent geopolitical risks, shifting trade policies, evolving supply chains and potential disruption from new technologies such as artificial intelligence may impact some sectors and companies more than others, creating potential outperformers and underperformers. Against this backdrop, fundamental, bottom-up and active stock selection may be valuable to identify lasting opportunities and leverage stock-specific differentiation within and across sectors.
Moreover, while the S&P 500 index has returned 13.1% annualised over the last decade ending 31.12.20243, equity market returns could moderate somewhat in the next decade given the steeper starting point for valuations. In uncertain markets where stock-level performance could vary widely, active alpha becomes crucial to help generate incremental gains to enhance overall portfolio performance, over and above market returns.
An expanded toolkit for stronger portfolios
To that end, the JPMorgan Funds - America Equity Fund presents an active solution that harnesses robust bottom-up fundamental research to uncover high-quality US companies that present opportunities for long-term capital growth.
The Fund employs a high conviction approach to seek attractive companies from the value and growth investment universes, thereby allowing investors to gain access to core US stocks while actively rebalancing exposure across the two complementary investment styles.