Global trade: navigating choppy waters
This paper discusses trade tensions and the recent tariff impositions on China, and the investment implications.
Guide to the Markets
Comprehensive insights on all the latest global economic and market developments, updated for Q2 2024.
On Investors' Minds - APAC Edition
Listen to the latest insights from Tai Hui to better understand what is happening in the financial markets from our Asia Pacific headquarters in Hong Kong
This paper discusses trade tensions and the recent tariff impositions on China, and the investment implications.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, addresses why policy easing amid a soft landing backdrop should be positive for both equities and fixed income.
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, highlights the growing significance and potential risks of private credit markets in enhancing returns and diversification.
This paper, written by Marcella Chow, highlights the divergence in central bank monetary policies and its investment implications.
This paper discusses the election results in India, and the investment implications of short-term valuation challenges and long-term positive prospects.
This paper, written by Raisah Rasid and Jennifer Qiu, discusses the approach investors should take towards Asian equities to mitigate currency risks.
This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly and Jennifer Qiu, discusses investment implications of rising U.S. federal debt and widening deficits.
This paper discusses why U.S. 1Q24 earnings have been better than expected, and broadening profit growth should present opportunities outside of the Magnificent 7.
This paper discusses the broader outlook for inflation and the labor market, following the April jobs report in the U.S.
This paper, written by Marcella Chow, discusses the recent surges in gold and copper, and why commodity strategies can help protect portfolios when both stocks and bonds are correcting.
This paper discusses the expected delay in the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle, and when the current wave of volatility could eventually subside.
This paper addresses the latest Chinese economic data and the factors that may contribute to China markets trending higher.
This paper discusses the relative valuation of European equities, and the factors that could suggest a more constructive outlook for the region's equity market.
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, addresses the current performance and outlook of private equity market with subdued exit activity.
This paper addresses why strong and consistent earnings growth, structural reforms and the likelihood of political continuity further enhances India's appeal in spite of rich valuations.
This paper, written by Tai Hui and Adrian Tong, discusses the key highlights of the Bank of Japan's March monetary policy meeting and what it means for the economy.
This paper discusses the macro factors in emerging markets that can drive a potential market rally once the Fed starts to cut and the U.S. dollar turns.
This paper summarizes the key objectives set out in the government work report at China’s National People’s Congress, which were broadly in line with expectations.
With monetary policy still at the forefront of the macro landscape in 2024, investors are left wondering how the election might influence Fed policymakers.
Continued demand for AI technologies from mega-cap companies should benefit Asian exporters that are involved in the regional tech supply chains.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, discusses why Japanese equities should remain strong despite potential tightening in monetary policy. (5-minute read)
This paper, written by Meera Pandit and Jennifer Qiu, discusses how quality balance sheets and margins continue to support U.S. large caps in spite of favorable small cap valuations.
While recession risks in the US have receded, geopolitical risk, election risk and restrictive monetary policy all threaten the current rally.
This paper, written by Meera Pandit, Nimish Vyas and Stephanie Aliaga, discusses the 4Q23 U.S. earnings and what it means for the Magnificent 7 and the broader markets.
This paper, written by Tai Hui and Jennifer Qiu, addresses the history of monetary easing and our expectations of Fed policy in 2024. (6-minute read)
This paper, written by Raisah Rasid, discusses the expected weakening of the U.S. dollar and the inflation deceleration in Asia, which presents an opportunity in Asia fixed income
International equities are likely to benefit this year from positive structural changes, a weaker dollar, and exciting governance changes.
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, discusses the recent Chinese economic data releases and the investment implications.
Although investors may be tempted to invest based on who they think will win the election and how certain policies may be implemented, macro forces often dwarf policy agendas when it comes to sector performance.
This paper, written by Marcella Chow and Adrian Tong, discusses the outlook for Asia high dividend equities in 2024.
Many investors wonder if they can tweak their existing exposures to be either more defensive against volatility or more opportunistic if certain sectors face future policy tailwinds.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, summarizes the factors that could trigger rate cuts and policy outlook with its investment implications. (3-minute read)
This paper, written by Tilmann Galler and Natasha May, discusses the outlook of small cap stocks and the investment implications.
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu and Marcella Chow, discusses the outlook of China and policy implications.
This paper, written by Raisah Rasid and Adrian Tong, discusses the outlook of Asia tech and the investment implications.
This paper, written by Tai Hui and Meera Pandit, summarizes the potential underlying market and policy implications of 2024 U.S. elections. (3-minute read)
Coming into 2023, the rallying cry from the asset management community was “Bonds are Back! ”. There were several reasonable assumptions behind this call.
This paper, written by Adrian Tong and Jennifer Qiu, summarizes the recent key central banks' decisions and their implication on asset allocation. (3-minute read)
This paper, written by Marcella Chow and Adrian Tong, highlights the recent performance of Asia high dividend equities and the factors influencing its outlook with investment implications. (3-minute read)
This paper, written by Raisah Rasid and Adrian Tong, discusses the outlook for Asian assets in the current global yield environment. (3-minute read)
This paper, written by Meera Pandit and Nimish Vyas, discusses our projections for the 3Q23 U.S. earnings season and the investment implications.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, discusses the factors driving oil prices and the Fed policy outlook.
After well over a year of anxiously anticipating an economic recession, the U.S. economy continues to look sound. However, as we enter the “fall of worry” there are several risks on the horizon this autumn: impacts from the UAW strike, rising oil prices, the resumption of student loan payments, and the potential for a government shutdown.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, summarizes the latest round of central bank meetings and discusses outlook for U.S., UK and European economy with its investment implications. (3-minute read)
This paper, written by Adrian Tong, highlights the driving forces and outlook of oil, food and metal prices, with their implications on policy and growth. (3-minute read)
This paper, written by Marcella Chow and Adrian Tong, addresses the key drivers and outlook of Asian domestic demand with its investment implications.
We expect a slower growth and cooling inflation environment will allow the Fed to gradually reduce rates next year, thus stabilizing real yields and potentially biasing them lower.
This paper, written by Jennifer Qiu and Adrian Tong, discusses the risks of corporate caution in the U.S. and the impact on the Asia tech sector.
2023 has seen more office conversion activity – while sometimes this can be easier said than done, it does suggest that there is an evolving opportunity in the office space for investors who can deploy additional capital.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, discusses China's property market, deflation risk and the investment implications.
While the probability of a soft landing has risen given the generally strong incoming data, the concern is that most leading indicators continue to point to recession.
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, Marcella Chow and Jennifer Qiu, discusses the recent China activity data and the investment implications.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, discusses the state of the U.S. economy and the investment implications on fixed income.
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, summarizes the previous highlights and upcoming outlook for central banks' meetings with investment implications.
This paper, written by Tai Hui, discusses the outlook for India equities and the investment implications.
This paper, written by Meera Pandit and Nimish Vyas, discusses the recent U.S. equity market performance, earnings outlook and the investment implications.
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, discusses the inflation outlook for China, policy expectations and the investment implications.
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