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Table of Contents
  • Important Note
  • Acceptance of the Terms of Use, Amendments and Additional Terms
  • Issuer of Website
  • Authorised Users, Authorised Use and Online Account Access
  • Prohibited Uses, Means of Access and Password Protected Areas
  • Disclaimers
  • General Provisions
Important Note

Investors may be subject to substantial losses or losing the entire investment. The investment decision is yours. You should not invest unless the intermediary who sells you the Fund has advised you that it is suitable for you and has explained how it is consistent with your investment objectives. Please refer to the “Product Disclosure Statement" (“PDS”) for details.

 

Acceptance of the Terms of Use, Amendments and Additional Terms

Acceptance of the Terms of Use and Amendments

 

You must read the following information before proceeding. It provides information on some of the laws and regulations applicable to this website. By accessing this website and any pages thereof, you acknowledge that you have read the following information and accept the terms and conditions set out below and on the relevant pages of this website, and agree to be bound by such terms and conditions. If you do not agree to such terms and conditions below, do not access this website, or any pages thereof.

 

These Terms of Use are in addition to any other agreements between you and JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited ABN 55 143 832 080 Australian financial services licence number 376919 (“we” or “us”), including any customer or account agreements, and any other agreements that govern your use of JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited's products, services, content, tools, and information available on this website. These Terms of Use apply to the use of this website and information contained on it only. For any products or services, refer to the specific terms and conditions for such products or services.

 

Your use of this website is governed by the version of the Terms of Use in effect on the date this website is accessed by you. The information contained in this website is current as at the date of publication but we reserve the right to change the website and the Terms of Use at any time without notice. If you use the website after the amended Terms of Use have been published, you will be deemed to have agreed to the Terms of Use, as amended.

 

Additional Terms

 

Certain sections or pages on this website may contain separate terms and conditions, which are in addition to these Terms of Use. In the event of a conflict, the additional terms and conditions will govern for those sections or pages.

 

Issuer of Website

The information contained herein is issued by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited. JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission ("ASIC"), which has registered the funds mentioned herein). However, ASIC takes no responsibility for the soundness of the registered funds and does not imply that investment in them is recommended by ASIC.

 

Authorised Users, Authorised Use and Online Account Access

Authorised Users

 

None of the funds mentioned herein have been approved for sale or purchase by any authority outside Australia. This website is intended to be accessed only by persons located in Australia (and, in relation solely to the Digital Portfolio Insights, certain licensed financial advisers in New Zealand) and this website is not directed to any person in any jurisdiction where (by reason of that person's nationality, residence or otherwise) the publication or availability of this website is prohibited. Persons in respect of whom such prohibitions apply must not access this website. It is the responsibility of any persons who access the information contained herein to observe all applicable laws and regulations of their relevant jurisdiction. By proceeding, you are representing and warranting that the applicable laws and regulations of your jurisdiction allow you to access the information.

 

Authorised Use - No solicitations

 

The information contained in this website does not constitute a distribution, an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any fund in any jurisdiction outside Australia. In particular, the information herein is not for distribution and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy any fund in any jurisdiction other than Australia.

 

Authorised Use - No investment recommendations or professional advice

 

The information contained in this website does not constitute investment advice. This website material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should therefore assess whether the material is appropriate for you and obtain financial advice tailored to you having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation, needs and circumstances. An investment in funds mentioned in this website may not be suitable for all investors and if you are unclear about any of the information on this website, please consult your professional adviser.

 

Unless otherwise agreed by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited in writing, you alone are solely responsible for your investment decisions based on your investment objectives and personal and financial situation.

 

Prohibited Uses, Means of Access and Password Protected Areas

Prohibited Uses
 

Because all servers have limited capacity and are used by many people, you may not use the website in any manner that would damage or overburden any JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited server, or any network connected to any JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited server. You may not use the website in any manner that would interfere with any other party's use of the website. You may not use any robot, spider, other automatic device or manual process to monitor or copy our web pages, data or the content contained herein or for any other unauthorized purpose without our prior expressed written permission.

 

Means of Access

 

This site is optimised for viewing with Microsoft Internet Explorer (version 6.0 SP1 or above) or Netscape Navigator (version 4.76 or above). Recommended screen resolution is 1024 x 768. Although you may use other means to access the website, be aware that the website may not appear accurately through other access methods, and you use them only at your own risk. You are responsible for setting the cache settings on your browsers to ensure that you are receiving the most recent data.

 

Collection of Personal Data or Information

 

JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited may also through this website collect your personal data or information, including the IP address of your personal computer, the country you are from and certain personal details (such as name, age, gender, profession, etc). We may also use software tools or 'cookies' to gather information about your browsing activities. The information collected may be processed by us, our agents or any other third party which provide services to JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited.

 

Please refer to our Privacy Statement and Cookies Policy for further information on our handling and use of such information.

 

Disclaimers

Content and Downloading Disclaimers

 

Nothing in these Terms of Use is intended to exclude, restrict or modify rights which you may have under law (including in Australia Schedule 2 of the Competition and Consumer Act 2010 (Cth) (the “Australian Consumer Law” and in New Zealand the Consumer Guarantees Act 1993 and Fair Trading Act 1986) which cannot be excluded, restricted or modified.

JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited believes that the information contained on the website is accurate as at the date of publication, however, except for warranties which cannot be excluded at law (including those under the Australian Consumer Law or in New Zealand the Consumer Guarantees Act 1993 and Fair Trading Act 1986), no warranty is made as to the accuracy, suitability, usefulness, reliability or completeness of any such information. The use of this website and the delivery (“Delivery”) of information or documents by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited or its agents through this website is at your own risk. Except for warranties which cannot be excluded at law, no warranty is given that the content of this website and the Delivery (including any such information) will be free from software related errors or that this website or any servers that operate it or the Delivery are free of computer viruses or other harmful components.

 

If you are using the website for commercial purposes in New Zealand, you agree that the Consumer Guarantees Act 1993 does not apply. 

 

Reasonable precautions have been taken to ensure that website content, including account information and pricing data, are complete and accurate. However, due to the nature of information delivery technology and the necessity of using multiple data sources, including third party content, JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited is unable to assure the accuracy of the data you access through this website. Website content is presented only as of the date published or indicated and may be superseded by subsequent market events or other reasons. To the extent permitted by applicable law, JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited shall not be liable to you or any third party for any damages arising from any actions or investment decisions taken by you based on the accuracy of the data presented through this website. JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited or its affiliates and their directors and employees may or may not have a position in or with respect to the securities mentioned herein.

 

Except for warranties which cannot be excluded at law (including those under the Australian Consumer Law or in New Zealand the Consumer Guarantees Act 1993 and Fair Trading Act 1986), JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited does not warrant that any downloads from this website will meet your needs or expectations, or be uninterrupted or secure or free from software related errors or that any files available for downloading through this website are free of computer viruses or other harmful components.

 

Third Party Content Providers, Sites, Referrals, Hyperlink Policy and Disclaimers

 

For informational or educational purposes, or as a service and convenience to you, this website may provide third party content or live links to a regulatory agency, non-profit organisation, or other unaffiliated third party and their websites, including companies that have a relationship with JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited.

 

Our decision to provide a link from our website to a third party website is not an endorsement of the third party, their products or services, or their website accessed through any such links. We are not responsible to the extent permitted by applicable law for the opinions, ideas, products, information, or services offered at such third party sites. While we would generally only provide such information from, or links to, sources considered reliable, we do not conduct independent investigations and accordingly we make no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to third party products, services, content, tools, information and website, and do not guarantee their accuracy, timeliness, completeness, reliability, suitability or usefulness for any particular purpose as we have no control over the content on such non JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited websites. We advise and encourage you to do your own research and make your own assessment.

 

Although third party content may be displayed, framed-in or provided in a pop-up box on the website, or available through a live link from our website to a third party website, JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited does not prepare, edit, guarantee or endorse, approve, recommend or introduce any third party content. By clicking on a link from our website to any third party website, you will leave this website (even if, for your convenience, a second browser window is opened). When viewing third party content through such a link, keep in mind that the third party's website terms and conditions, privacy and security policies, or other legal information may be different from those of JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited website. To the extent permitted by applicable law, we are not liable for any direct or indirect technical or system issues, consequences, or damages arising from your use of any third party website or information provided by third party. Except for warranties which cannot be excluded at law, we do not warrant that such site or content is free from any claims of copyright, trademark, or other infringement of the rights of third parties or that such site or content is devoid of viruses or other contamination. Your access, use and reliance upon such third party content, products or services is at your own risk. We advise and encourage you to do your own research and make your own assessment.

 

Limitation of Liability on System and Transmission over the Internet

 

To the extent permitted by applicable law (including those under the Australian Consumer Law or in New Zealand the Consumer Guarantees Act 1993 and Fair Trading Act 1986), JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited or its affiliates, or any of their respective directors, officers, employees or agents shall not be liable for any and all losses (including without limitation, loss of opportunities or profit, personal injuries, death and property damage), injury (including special, indirect and consequential losses), damages, rights, claims and actions of any kind resulting from:

 

  • any event which occurs due to reasons outside the control of JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited (including, but not limited to, any natural, systems, facilities, technological, political or other cause outside of its control), 
  • any virus or other harmful component affecting the website or any server that operates it, 
  • any interception of data or communications in connection with the public nature of the internet, 
  • any problems or technical malfunction of any telephone network or lines, 
  • accessing or downloading any materials from any third party website,
  • any failure of electronic or mechanical equipment, email, the internet or other interconnect problems, bugs, errors or incompatibility of computer hardware and software, 
  • any problems or delays with email, internet, internet access, internet service providers, intermediate communications networks or facilities, data transmission facilities,
  • any system disruption or interruption, transmission blackout, delayed transmission or any incorrect data transmission, or
  • any combination thereof.

 

In Australia, under the Australian Consumer Law, if we fail to comply with a consumer guarantee that is applicable to these Terms of Use pursuant to the Australian Consumer Law, then our liability is limited to resupplying the relevant product(s) or service(s) to you.

 

Offering Documents and Investment Risks

 

Units in funds mentioned on this website may only be bought and sold on the terms set out in the relevant PDS. Investments in emerging markets and smaller companies may involve a higher degree of risk and are usually more sensitive to price movements. Past performance is not a guide to future returns and investors should be aware that the value of units and the income from them may fall as well as rise and they may not get back the full amount invested. Exchange rates may also cause the value of the underlying overseas investments to go up or down. Prospective investors should consult their own professional advisers on the legal and tax implications of making an investment in, holding or disposing of any units mentioned herein and the receipt of distributions with respect to such a fund.

 

Copyright, Trademark, Logo, Patent, Intellectual and Other Property Rights

 

All copyright, trademark, logo, patent, intellectual and other property rights in the information contained herein is owned by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited or its affiliates. No rights of any kind are licensed or assigned or shall otherwise pass to persons accessing such information. Under no circumstances should information contained herein or any part of it be copied, reproduced or redistributed without JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited's express written consent.

 

You acknowledge that content on the Site or otherwise available from JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited through any other Dealing Facility (“Content”) is subject to copyright and possibly other intellectual property rights (“IPRs”). Unless expressly permitted by law, the applicant shall not, and shall not permit any other person to, sell, modify, copy, reproduce, distribute, display or publish any Content which the applicant does not own or hold under licence or otherwise infringe the IPRs of any person in using the Site or any other Dealing Facility or any Content.

 

The website or any other Dealing Facility may contain Content posted, emailed or otherwise submitted by you and/or, in the case of the website, by other users of the website (“User Content”). JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited has the right to access and examine any User Content and may in its absolute discretion move, remove or disable access to User Content or cause the same to be done. You grant JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited a perpetual, irrevocable, royalty free licence to use, reproduce, modify, adapt, publish, translate, incorporate in other works, distribute and display any information posted, emailed or otherwise submitted by you, in whole or in part.

 

Computer Equipment, Browser Access and Internet Services

 

You are responsible for obtaining, installing, maintaining and operating all software, hardware or other equipment (collectively, "System") necessary for you to access and use this website including specifically any password protected and/or secure areas. This responsibility includes, without limitation, your utilising up to date web-browsers and reasonably appropriate antivirus and internet security software. You are additionally responsible for obtaining Internet services via the Internet service provider of your choice, for any and all fees imposed by such Internet service provider and any associated communications service provider charges. You acknowledge that there are certain security, corruption, transmission error, and access availability risks associated with using open networks such as the Internet and electronic communication. You acknowledge that you are responsible for the data security of the Systems that you use to access this website, and for the transmission and receipt of information using such Systems. You acknowledge that you have requested access to the website for your convenience, have made your own independent assessment of the adequacy of the Internet and Systems and that you are satisfied with that assessment. Subject to any responsibilities implied by law (including those under the Australian Consumer Law or in New Zealand the Consumer Guarantees Act 1993 and Fair Trading Act 1986) which cannot be excluded, JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited is not responsible for any errors or problems that arise from the malfunction or failure of the Internet or your Systems nor are we responsible for notifying you of any upgrades, fixes, or enhancements to, or for providing technical or other support for your Systems. Although we may provide a link to a third party site where you may download software, we make no endorsement of any specific third party software, hardware or Internet Service Provider and your use of any such software, hardware or service may also be subject to the license or other agreements of that provider, in addition to these Terms of Use.

General Provisions

Governing Law

 

These Terms of Use shall be governed by the laws of the State of New South Wales, Australia.

 

You irrevocably and unconditionally submit to the non-exclusive jurisdiction of the courts of New South Wales and of the Federal Court of Australia.

 

You shall comply with all laws, rules and regulations by any governmental authority or agency which govern or apply to the operation and use of this website. No waiver to these Terms of Use shall be effective unless agreed in writing by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited. All rights not expressly granted herein are reserved by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited.

 

Please click the "Accept" button below if you have read this page and agree to abide by its contents, otherwise click "Close" to leave the website.

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Eye on the Market

Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy offers timely commentary on the economy, markets and investment portfolios

14th Annual Energy Paper: Electravision

Electravision. The predominant vision for the future involves the electrification of everything, powered by solar, wind, transmission and distributed energy storage. This vision primarily relies upon the greater efficiency of electric motors and heat pumps vs their fossil fuel counterparts. While the grid is getting greener, electrification is advancing at a much slower pace for reasons related to chemistry, physics, cost, politics and human behavior. Our 14th annual energy paper takes a closer look, and also includes sections on nuclear power, China, hydrogen, “net zero oil” and Gaza’s energy

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Latest Commentary

Redacted

Straight talk from the CEO front lines on Liberation Day. Almost all the news on tariffs and declining CEO business confidence that’s fit to print, with only a few minor redactions.

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Fifty Days of Grey

Here’s the interesting thing about the stock market: it cannot be indicted, arrested or deported; it cannot be intimidated, threatened or bullied; it has no gender, ethnicity or religion; it cannot be fired, furloughed or defunded; it cannot be primaried before the next midterm elections; and it cannot be seized, nationalized or invaded.

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Heliocentrism: Objects may be further away than they appear

Solar capacity is booming around the world, both utility scale and residential applications, and is often accompanied by energy storage whose costs are declining as well. Yet after $9 trillion globally over the last decade spent on wind, solar, electric vehicles, energy storage, electrified heat and power grids, the renewable transition is still a linear one; the renewable share of final energy consumption is slowly advancing at 0.3%-0.6% per year. Our 15th annual energy paper covers the speed of the transition, electrification, the changing planet, the high cost of decarbonization in Europe, nuclear power, the Los Angeles fires, Trump 2.0 energy policies, renewable aviation fuels, superconductivity, methane tracking and the continually wilting prospects for the hydrogen economy.

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From Here to Eternity

From Here to Eternity: tracking Trump’s economic, market and constitutional milestones. Whether you’re elated or despondent about the blizzard of changes taking place in Washington, let me remind you of something: two years is an eternity in US politics. In this month’s note, we include a Trump policy impact tracker, and an assessment of the statutory and constitutional challenges that Trump policies face as the administration explores the outer limits of executive power.

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DeepSeek and the sincerest form of flattery

The sincerest form of flattery: on DeepSeek, NVIDIA, OpenAI and the futility of US chip bans. The DeepSeek episode can be two things at once: (i) a reflection of impressive Chinese AI innovation in the face of US chip bans and other restrictions, and (ii) the by-product of probable terms of service and copyright violations by DeepSeek against OpenAI. A Shakesperean irony: OpenAI may have had its terms of service violated after spending years training their own models on other people’s data. Warning: this piece is very geeky.

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Inauguruption: the flurry of Trump 2.0 executive orders

Trump 2.0 is a hodgepodge of distinctly American political strains: the bare-knuckled nationalism and anti-elitism of Andrew Jackson, the tariff-loving protectionism of William McKinley, the small-government/pro-business policies of Calvin Coolidge, the unforgiving enemies lists of Richard Nixon, the deportation policies of Dwight Eisenhower, the manifest destiny of James Polk and the isolationism of 1914-era Woodrow Wilson. American First policies announced yesterday create risks for investors since its supply side benefits collide with its inflationary tendencies; there’s not a lot of room for error at a time of elevated US equity multiples.

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Eye on the Market Outlook 2025 : The Alchemists

Deregulation, deportations, tariffs, tax cuts, cost cutting, crypto, oil & gas, medical freedom and Agency purges: What could possibly go wrong? Sections include the AI Golden Goose, the invisible nuclear renaissance, DOGE Quixote, the two China traps, Dr. Seuss goes to Europe, a crypto update and the 2025 Top Ten list.

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The Year of Living Dangerously

I was visited by six ghosts recently warning me of dangers related to predictions, allocations, apparitions, legalizations, expurgations and ablations. Here’s what they said.

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"Kamilton": the 2024 election and who tells your story

A reflection on the 2024 election and who tells your story. On Trump’s victory: market implications of a supply side boost from deregulation clashing against inflationary impulses of tariffs and deportations. The ten year Treasury will be the most reliable barometer of all. To conclude, an ode to vaccines and an RFK bibliography.

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The Thucydides cap on the China equity rebound trade

For participants in the China equity rebound trade: once you hit your return targets, take the money and run.

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Mind the Gap: a historically polarized US election

The US is about to conduct its most polarized Presidential election in 100 years.

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A severe case of COVIDIA: prognosis for an AI-driven US equity market

NVIDIA and its GPU customers are now a large driver of equity market returns, earnings growth, earnings revisions, industrial production and capital spending.

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There’s no place like home

A surge in the Japanese Yen is resulting in home repatriation of Yen-funded positions overseas, and close-out of Yen-funded positions abroad. While Google was found guilty of home bias anti-competitive search engine behavior, any judicial remedies could be as bad for recipients of Google’s shelf space payments as they are for Google itself. Work-from-home trends have plateaued at ~30%, which has important implications for owners of impaired office buildings. Most distressed sales now require discounts of 60%+ vs pre-COVID levels; the fundamentals of the office sector explain why.

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The Lion in Winter

From 1930 to 2010, there were six extended periods of small cap outperformance as it dominated large cap over that entire period. But since 2010, small cap sits alongside value stocks and non-US stocks in the unholy trinity of underperforming portfolio strategies. While poor profit fundamentals argue against a prolonged period of outperformance vs large cap, small cap stocks are at their cheapest levels in the 21st century with potential market and political catalysts in their favor. First, a few words on the CrowdStrike outage.

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Implications of President Biden's Nominee Withdrawal Webcast Replay

US small cap stocks were the lions of the 20th century, generating substantial returns over large cap stocks during six different extended periods of time. It has been 20 years since the last one due to a combination of poor small cap profit fundamentals, higher exposure to rising interest rates and the pricing power accruing to the largest stocks in a winner-take-all economy. Small cap has joined value stocks and non-US stocks in the trinity of severely underperforming asset allocation strategies. Relative to large cap, small cap stocks are now at their cheapest levels in the 21st century. While poor fundamentals argue against a seventh multi-year small cap outperformance regime, small cap is much closer to fair value for diversified portfolio investors.

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The Supreme Court vs the Regulatory State

Recent Supreme Court rulings may now usher in the largest pushback on the regulatory state since the Reagan Administration. A look at the end of Chevron deference, a revised statute of limitations for challenging government regulations, the Major Questions Doctrine, the right to a jury trial and a District Court injunction against Biden’s LNG export moratorium.

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Presidential candidate replacement procedures

US Presidential elections: a brief primer on candidate replacement; Supreme Court decisions. As part of our ongoing coverage in the Eye on the Market of issues related to the US political process (third party candidates, the 11th and 12th amendments, the Electoral Count Reform Act, faithless electors, the No Labels movement, etc), I want to share a brief description of what we understand regarding candidate replacement procedures after the last Presidential primary and before the general election in November.

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A Piece of the Action

Investing in professional sports leagues and related businesses. As rules around private equity ownership of sports leagues expand, we review team valuations and profitability, emerging sports categories, streaming and broadcast revenues, the decline of regional sports networks, drivers and comparisons of league parity, relegation and financial pressures in the English Premier League, stadium subsidies, sports betting and other adjacent businesses, antitrust issues, the esports winter, the worst teams that money can buy and the best basketball players of all time.

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Animal Farm

With spring planting season having arrived in Zone 7, it’s a good time to review agriculture from an investor’s perspective. Topics include agricultural price inflation in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine; public and private equity investments in agriculture, farmland ownership and the drivers of farmland returns; seed bio-engineering designed to reduce consumption of fertilizer, fungicide and water; and some satellite data on the immense agricultural damage occurring in Gaza and Israel. The Appendix addresses the avian flu’s impact on agriculture and the food supply.

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Cicadian Rhythms

Cicadian Rhythms: the fading prospects of a US disinflationary boom; Japan’s structural reform/M&A emergence; and Eye on the Market mailbag responses to questions on Tesla/Musk, GLPs, housing, China, Truth Social and Meta’s latest open source model.

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The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: on tech valuations, AI, energy and US politics Last week I spoke to the firm’s tech CEO clients at a conference in Montana. This note is a partial summary of that presentation, entitled “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly: an investor lens on tech valuations, AI, energy and the US Presidential Election”.

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Eye on the Market 14th Annual energy paper

Electravision. The predominant vision for the future involves the electrification of everything, powered by solar, wind, transmission and distributed energy storage. This vision primarily relies upon the greater efficiency of electric motors and heat pumps vs their fossil fuel counterparts. While the grid is getting greener, electrification is advancing at a much slower pace for reasons related to chemistry, physics, cost, politics and human behavior. Our 14th annual energy paper takes a closer look, and also includes sections on nuclear power, China, hydrogen, “net zero oil” and Gaza’s energy future.

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Five Easy Pieces

Five Easy Pieces: on Magnificent 7 stocks, open source large language models, the No Labels movement, the Armageddonists and bottom-fishing in Chinese equities.

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Medical Complications

This Eye on the Market is about all the things that can be true at the same time. The collapse of the political middle in Congress should not be an excuse for everyone else to abandon the ability to believe things that may appear contradictory, but which are all part of a more complicated reality.

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Eye on the Market Outlook 2024: Pillow Talk

Falling US inflation and possible Fed easing are increasing talk of a soft landing rather than a hard landing and bear market. Our 2024 Outlook takes a closer look at equities, fixed income, China, Japan, antitrust, weight loss drugs and ten surprises for 2024.

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It's Mostly a Paper Moon: Alternative Investments Review

A review on industry returns in private equity, venture capital, hedge funds, commercial real estate, infrastructure and private credit

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Not That 70's Show

Six questions and answers on the intersection between geopolitics, US politics and financial markets

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New York, Just Like I Pictured It

A comparison of NYC to 21 other US cities with respect to urban recovery, commercial real estate, mass transit, crime, outmigration, work-from-home trends, tax rates, economic pulse, fiscal health, unfunded pensions, energy prices, industry diversification and competitiveness.

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What was I made for: Large Language Models in the Real World

I asked Chat GPT-4 questions on economics, markets, energy and politics that my analysts and I worked on over the last two years. This piece reviews the results, along with the latest achievements and stumbles of generative AI models in the real world, and comments on the changing relationship between innovation, productivity and employment. The bottom line: a large language model can process reams of text very efficiently, and that’s what it’s made for. But it cannot think or reason; it’s just something I paid for. Upfront, a few comments on oil prices.

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The Rasputin Effect: Global resilience to higher rates

Global Resilience to higher rates

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Mr. Toad's Wild Ride: The impact of underperforming 2020 and 2021 US IPOs

The impact of underperforming 2020 and 2021 US IPOs

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Letters to the Editor

Comments on mega-cap stocks and artificial intelligence. Then, it’s time for some of my unsolicited letters to Barron’s, MSNBC, “No Labels”, FHFA and more.

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Too Long at the Fair

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Please note:  Following recent amendments to the Corporations Act, where unitholders have provided us with your email address, we will now send notices of meetings, other meeting-related documents and annual financial reports electronically unless the unitholder elects to receive these in physical form and notify us of this election. Unitholders have the right to elect whether to receive some or all of such Communications in electronic or physical form, the right to elect not to receive annual financial reports at all and the right to elect to receive a single specified Communication on an ad hoc basis, in an electronic or physical form.

 

All investments contain risk and may lose value. This advertisement has been prepared and issued by JPMorgan Asset Management (Australia) Limited (ABN 55 143 832 080) (AFSL No. 376919) being the investment manager of the fund. It is for general information only, without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs and does not constitute personal financial advice. Before making any decision, it is important for investors to consider the appropriateness of the information and seek appropriate legal, tax, and other professional advice. For more detailed information relating to the risks of the Fund, the type of customer (target market) it has been designed for and any distribution conditions please refer to the relevant Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination which have been issued by Perpetual Trust Services Limited, ABN 48 000 142 049, AFSL 236648, as the responsible entity of the fund available on https://am.jpmorgan.com/au.

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