Weekly Market Recap
Australia
06/07/2020
Week in review
- National house prices fell 0.7% m/m
- Global PMI manufacturing for June rose to 47.0
- U.S. unemployment rate falls to 11.1% in June
Week ahead
- RBA interest rate decision
- Australia housing finance
- U.S. ISM non-manufacturing index
Thought of the week
The global PMI for manufacturing rose by a record amount in June to 47.0. While this is still below the threshold that would suggest economic expansion, it does lend weight to the ongoing economic recovery. The sub-components of new orders and exports were also very strong. These surveys are closely watched by investors and offset some of last weeks viral spread concerns. The pick-up in these indicators reflects some of the release of pent-up demand as restrictions on social distancing were eased. The bounce will not however, take us back to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity quickly, creating an incomplete recovery. The important factor is that the economic momentum continues to roll forward even if the pace may slow in quarters ahead.
Economic momentum continues to build
PMI for manufacturing and services
Source: Markit, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, all returns in local currency unless otherwise stated.
Equity price levels and returns: Levels are prices and returns represent total returns for stated period.
Bond yields and returns: Yields are yield to maturity for government bonds and yield to worst for corporate bonds. All returns represent total returns. AusBond Comp is the AusBond Composite 0+ Yr, AusBond IG is the AusBond Credit 0+ Yr both provided by Bloomberg.
Currencies: All cross rates are against the Australian dollar. An appreciation of the foreign currency against the Australian dollar would be positive and a depreciation of the foreign currency against the Australian dollar would be negative.
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