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GLOBAL ASSET ALLOCATION VIEWS 2Q 2018

The growth outlook for 2018 is robust, but two-sided inflation risks have emerged. We overweight equity, with marginally less conviction, downgrade investment grade credit and close our cash underweight. Our portfolio tilt is moderately pro-risk.


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GLOBAL FIXED INCOME VIEWS 2Q 2018

With a central bank backdrop supportive of risk assets, Above Trend Growth is the likeliest scenario. As rates rise, we remain cautious on duration, favoring stronger growth and higher inflation sectors including securitized credit, U.S and European high yield and U.S. leveraged loans.


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GLOBAL EQUITY VIEWS 2Q 2018

While investors have become more nervous, concerned about trade tensions and/or a monetary policy mistake, we see enough profit growth ahead to stay fully invested in equities. Regionally we like emerging markets and, on a sector basis, financials.


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