How could policy changes impact alternative investments?
This paper, written by Meera Pandit, discusses the potential impact of U.S. government policy changes on alternative assets.
Read more
Guide to the Markets
Comprehensive insights on all the latest global economic and market developments.
Our flagship Insights
Market Commentary
Trade turbulence: Navigating a potential U.S.-China trade war
This paper, written by Jennifer Qiu, addresses the broader impact of potential U.S. tariffs on China, and the investment implications.
Read more
Positives beyond corporate reform
This paper discusses the various drivers apart from corporate reforms that provide positive sentiment to the Japanese equity market, and the investment implications.
Read more
The beneficiaries of a U.S. corporate tax cut
This paper, written by Meera Pandit, discusses the impact of a U.S. corporate tax rate cut on corporate earnings, and the investment implications.
Read more
The road ahead: When will U.S. debt be too much?
This paper addresses the current market stability and investor confidence in the U.S. debt situation keeping in mind the long-term risks, and the investment implications.
Read more
U.S. Dollar strength and factors that could sustain the current rally
This paper discusses the strength of the U.S. dollar since September, driven by higher U.S. Treasury yields and President-elect Trump's policy stance, and the investment implications.
Read more
Future Fed Rate Decisions: Anticipating Responses to Fiscal Policy
This paper, written by Meera Pandit, discusses the Federal Open Market Committee's decision to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.50%-4.75%, and the investment implications.
Read more
Potential Republican sweep sends markets higher, but policy uncertainty looms
This paper, written by David Kelly, Gabriela Santos and Stephanie Aliaga, discusses the potential Republican sweep in the U.S. elections, and the investment implications.
Read more
U.S. earnings amble along
This paper addresses the stabilization of S&P 500 earnings in the U.S. on the back of normalizing in growth and inflation, and the investment implications.
Read more
A dive into Chinese households’ balance sheets
This paper discusses the consumption outlook and the related impact of the policy stimulus in China from the lens of Chinese households' balance sheets and their vulnerabilities.
Read more
China market: Solid policy moves expected after initial valuation recovery
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, discusses the stimulus measures adopted by Chinese policy makers in response to deflationary risks, and the need for clearer future plans amid economic uncertainties.
Read more
Where is the U.S. dollar headed against Asian currencies?
This article addresses the U.S. dollar's varied performance against Asian currencies and factors affecting various currencies' strength.
Read more
Embracing Quality: Navigating global rate cut cycles
This paper, written by Marcella Chow and Jennifer Qiu, addresses the importance of quality fixed income in a diversified portfolio amid diverse economic and monetary policy landscapes.
Read more
What can sustain the latest Chinese equity rally?
This paper, written by Tai Hui, addresses the impact of Beijing's coordinated policies on the recent Chinese equity market rally, and the long-term investment implications.
Read more
Beyond the Asian heavyweights: ASEAN equities
This paper addresses the investment opportunities in ASEAN equities on the back of attractive valuations and robust income generation.
Read more
Will lower yields lead to better performance in real estate markets?
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, discusses the opportunities for investors in real estate markets on the back of expected decline in interest rates and bond yields.
Read more
What are the key policy implications in the 2024 presidential race?
In this piece, we compare the proposals of Vice-President Harris and former President Trump across taxes, trade and immigration, and the potential market implications of different election outcomes.
Read more
Positioning ahead of the Fed
This paper addresses the historical impact of "soft landings" and "hard landings" on asset classes, and how investors can position themselves with Fed rate cuts looming.
Read more
Are Asian central banks looking to cut rates soon?
This paper addresses the flexibility of Asian central banks to cut rates amidst easing inflation and robust recovery in currencies, and the investment implications on Asian equities and fixed income.
Read more
Why hasn’t the South Korean market done better?
This paper addresses the underperformance of the South Korean market despite strong earnings outlook, improving corporate governance and regulatory reforms, and steady macroeconomic outlook.
Read more
China’s drive toward self-sufficiency
This paper addresses how China has strengthened its self sufficiency in automobile and technology sectors, and the investment implications.
Read more
U.S. 2Q24 Earnings: Broadening out
This paper discusses the 2Q24 U.S. earnings season, with the eagerly anticipated broadening out of earnings growth for the companies outside the Magnificent 7, and the investment implications.
Read more
Markets sell-off recap: Navigating choppy waters
This paper discusses the recent market volatility in the U.S. and Asia on the back of the release of the U.S. July jobs report and latest Federal Reserve commentary, and the investment implications.
Read more
The Bank of Japan delivers the second rate hike and provides more detail on quantitative tightening
This paper discusses the BoJ’s decision to hike rates and reduce the pace of its JGB purchases in its latest policy meeting, and the investment implications.
Read more
Can the U.S. small cap rotation continue?
This paper discusses whether the strength of the rotation into U.S. small caps is premature given weak fundamentals.
Read more
Is China improving?
This paper discusses the investment implications of the latest economic data release from China and the policy rate cut by the PBoC.
Read more
What are the potential implications of the U.S. Election for emerging markets?
With the U.S. election approaching, potential U.S. policy changes are a key concern for global investors. After most U.S. elections, the MSCI EM Index has had positive performance in the 100 days following.
Read more
Can the Bank of Japan’s policy further support Japanese equities?
This paper discusses how improving economic data can convince the BoJ to normalize monetary policy, and help Japan's earnings growth to outpace the U.S. and Europe in 2024-25.
Read more
Central bankers are not rushing into things
This paper, written by Tai Hui, addresses why policy easing amid a soft landing backdrop should be positive for both equities and fixed income.
Read more
Corporate governance reforms provide a bit of extra push
This paper discusses how corporate governance reforms in Asian markets can enhance earnings outlook, and the investment implications.
Read more
Is U.S. stock market concentration a warning sign?
This paper addresses the concerns over market concentration in the S&P 500, and the investment implications.
Read more
Global trade: navigating choppy waters
This paper discusses trade tensions and the recent tariff impositions on China, and the investment implications.
Read more
Is it still a good time to be a lender in private markets?
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, highlights the growing significance and potential risks of private credit markets in enhancing returns and diversification.
Read more
Locking in yields as central banks dial back tight monetary policies
This paper, written by Marcella Chow, highlights the divergence in central bank monetary policies and its investment implications.
Read more
A tight outcome for India’s elections
This paper discusses the election results in India, and the investment implications of short-term valuation challenges and long-term positive prospects.
Read more
There’s still a case for Asian equities
This paper, written by Raisah Rasid and Jennifer Qiu, discusses why investors should take an active approach towards Asian equities in mitigating currency risks.
Read more
The investment implications of U.S. federal debt
This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly and Jennifer Qiu, discusses investment implications of rising U.S. federal debt and widening deficits.
Read more
2024 U.S. earnings off to a solid start
This paper discusses why U.S. 1Q24 earnings have been better than expected, and broadening profit growth should present opportunities outside of the Magnificent 7.
Read more
The latest inflation and job market trends in the U.S.
This paper discusses the broader outlook for inflation and the labor market, following the April jobs report in the U.S.
Read more
Commodities: Reasons behind the recent surges in gold and copper
This paper, written by Marcella Chow, discusses the recent surges in gold and copper, and why commodity strategies can help protect portfolios when both stocks and bonds are correcting.
Read more
A rough sea needs a steady ship
This paper discusses the expected delay in the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle, and when the current wave of volatility could eventually subside.
Read more
China economy: Imbalanced recovery
This paper addresses the latest Chinese economic data and the factors that may contribute to China markets trending higher.
Read more
Is there value in European equities?
This paper discusses the relative valuation of European equities, and the factors that could suggest a more constructive outlook for the region's equity market.
Read more
Does AI have the power to enhance our health?
Well-positioned investors could take advantage of the new era unfolding in healthcare transformation.
Read more
Will exit activity improve in private equity?
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, addresses the current performance and outlook of private equity market with subdued exit activity.
Read more
Is there still value in India?
This paper addresses why strong and consistent earnings growth, structural reforms and the likelihood of political continuity further enhances India's appeal in spite of rich valuations.
Read more
Bank of Japan lift off: Symbolic but still a lot of questions
This paper, written by Tai Hui and Adrian Tong, discusses the key highlights of the Bank of Japan's March monetary policy meeting and what it means for the economy.
Read more
EM Equities: Inching out of the shadows
This paper discusses the macro factors in emerging markets that can drive a potential market rally once the Fed starts to cut and the U.S. dollar turns.
Read more
China NPC review: Policy announcements in line with market expectations
This paper summarizes the key objectives set out in the government work report at China’s National People’s Congress, which were broadly in line with expectations.
Read more
What has the Fed done in election years?
With monetary policy still at the forefront of the macro landscape in 2024, investors are left wondering how the election might influence Fed policymakers.
Read more
Asian economies riding the tech wave
Continued demand for AI technologies from mega-cap companies should benefit Asian exporters that are involved in the regional tech supply chains.
Read more
Will the Bank of Japan derail the Japanese equity bull run?
This paper, written by Tai Hui discusses why Japanese equities could remain strong despite the potential tightening in monetary policy.
Read more
Is this the time for U.S. small caps?
This paper, written by Meera Pandit and Jennifer Qiu, discusses how quality balance sheets and margins continue to support U.S. large caps in spite of favorable small cap valuations.
Read more
Should investors be bullish or bearish on US equities?
While recession risks in the US have receded, geopolitical risk, election risk and restrictive monetary policy all threaten the current rally.
Read more
What does it take for the Fed to cut?
This paper, written by Tai Hui and Jennifer Qiu, addresses the history of monetary easing and our expectations of Fed policy in 2024. (6-minute read)
Read more
Opportunities in Asia fixed income
This paper, written by Raisah Rasid, discusses the expected weakening of the U.S. dollar and the inflation deceleration in Asia, which presents an opportunity in Asia fixed income
Read more
What will drive international equity performance this year?
International equities are likely to benefit this year from positive structural changes, a weaker dollar, and exciting governance changes.
Read more
China economy: stay patient for policy catalyst
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, discusses the recent Chinese economic data releases and the investment implications.
Read more
How much does policy influence sector performance?
Although investors may be tempted to invest based on who they think will win the election and how certain policies may be implemented, macro forces often dwarf policy agendas when it comes to sector performance.
Read more
The investment outlook for Asia high dividend equities in 2024
This paper, written by Marcella Chow and Adrian Tong, discusses the outlook for Asia high dividend equities in 2024.
Read more
How sectors perform under Republicans vs. Democrats
Many investors wonder if they can tweak their existing exposures to be either more defensive against volatility or more opportunistic if certain sectors face future policy tailwinds.
Read more
Are investors too dovish now?
This paper, written by Tai Hui, summarizes the factors that could trigger rate cuts and policy outlook with its investment implications. (3-minute read)
Read more