Our Market Strategists dive into the major topics and locations impacting the markets and investors.
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, looks into the key factors that we see leading to a sustainable move higher in government bond yields, and what this means for investors.
The Federal Open Market Committee statement highlighted the continued improvement in economic conditions due to progress on vaccinations, but noted risks to the outlook still remain, largely reflecting the rise in cases over the past few weeks in unvaccinated communities.
This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly, addresses the FOMC's June meeting announcement.
This paper, written by Kerry Craig, Ian Hui and Gareth Lam, looks into whether commodities can still protect investors from inflation given the global transition to a low-carbon economy.
In this final paper of our "achieving net zero" series, we discuss the pillars of the policy mix and how the transition to net zero will impact some of the industries.
In this third paper of our "achieving net zero" series, we discuss the technologies and strategies required in the path towards net-zero emissions.
In this second paper out of four, we discuss the scale of the challenge ahead in the path towards a carbon-neutral world.
In this first paper out of four, we explore the paths that economies across the world are taking in the effort to achieve net-zero emissions, and introduce this series of four papers which will provide a framework to understand and address the challenges of getting to net zero and the associated investment implications.
Recent economic and employment indicators have improved markedly in recent weeks. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) appropriately acknowledged this recent strength, while continuing to reassure investors it would not act prematurely in pulling back monetary support.
The rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and the passing of a further USD 1.8trillion fiscal package has brightened the economic outlook and today’s meeting gave investors a gauge on how this might adjust monetary policy in the years ahead.
The pandemic would always have demanded a dramatic response in terms of easy monetary and fiscal policy. However, policy responses have been shaped not just by the needs of the present but by the lessons of the past.
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, discusses the potential path for China’s policy normalization after the country’s economy recovered from COVID-19.
It is hard to remember a time when Brexit was not dominating British headlines, but at the midnight hour, UK and EU negotiators finally reached agreement on a new trade deal. This piece addresses the key questions surrounding the deal: what is covered, how does it impact the outlook for the UK economy, and what are the market implications?
Several major news outlets are now projecting that the Democrats will win the two remaining Senate races following Tuesday's run-offs in Georgia.
This paper, written by Ian Hui and Alex Cheung, analyzes the recovery of various Asian economies from the COVID-19 pandemic and discusses the near-term and longer-term regional outlook.
Turbulence defines today’s investment environment, with great waves of uncertainty surging from the pandemic, the election, fiscal policy and a slowdown in what had been, to this point, a sharp recovery from a very deep recession. The waves of uncertainty should fade in 2021 and, as they do so, the primary role of interest rates in determining asset class returns should reassert itself.
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, gives our prospects about China’s upcoming 14th five-year plan. To be approved in October and implemented during 2021 to 2025, this plan will have profound impacts to Chinese economy and financial market.
This paper, written by David Kelly, addresses the FOMC's September meeting announcement.
This paper, written by Ian Hui and Alex Yeo, provides a framework for comparing the policy responses and risks faced by Asian economies from the pandemic.
This paper, written by Marcella Chow and Chaoping Zhu, discusses the rebound in Chinese economic activity and its implications for investors.
This paper, written by Ian Hui and Chaoping Zhu, looks at the attractiveness of the Chinese bond market in the current global environment.
To frame the balance sheet discussion, we consider the impact to real GDP, employment and inflation under each recovery scenario.
This paper, written by Jai Malhi, examines the European Central Bank meeting outcome and its investment implications.
This paper addresses the FOMC's April meeting announcement.
This paper, written by Tillman Galler and Kerry Craig, discusses the latest movements in the oil markets amid the global pandemic and implication for investors.
This paper, written by David Lebovitz and Tyler Voigt, reviews the 1Q 2020 U.S. earnings results and the significant volatility that has taken place.
This paper, written by Chaoping Zhu, discussed the performance and outlook of Chinese economy, policies amid the global pandemic and implication for investors.
This paper, written by David Lebovitz, Alex Dryden, and Jack Manley, reviews the latest U.S. Fed increased liquidity actions and its investment implications.
This paper, written by David Lebovitz and Meera Pandit, reviews the surge in U.S. initial claims for unemployment and its investment implications.
This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly, reviews the U.S> relief bill and its investment implications.
This paper written by Dr. David Kelly updates the latest on the coronavirus impact to global markets.
This paper, written by David Kelly, provides an update on the investment implications of COVID-19.
This paper, written by Karen Ward, highlights the recent rate cut by the Bank of England and its investment implications.
This paper, written by David Lebovitz and Tyler Voigt, highlights the short-term and long-term uses of corporate cash investors could take advantage of within their portfolios.
This paper, written by Dr. David Kelly, Hannah Anderson and Meera Pandit, addresses the upcoming U.S. election and its investment implications.
This paper, written by David M. Lebovitz and Tyler J. Voigt, reviews 4Q19 U.S. earnings with performance of various sectors and its investment implications.
This paper, written by Dr. Jasslyn Yeo, explains why cyclical tailwinds support a positive stance for Asia ex-Japan equities this year, and why persisting secular headwinds mean that the investment case for Asia ex-Japan growth stocks remains strong.
Market Strategists provide commentary and analysis on the latest events and their likely impact on the markets and investing.
Today’s actions from the European Central Bank (ECB) were at the upper end of market expectations.