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    CONTINUE Go Back
    1. Guide to the Regions

    REGIONAL INSIGHTS

    CHINA ASIA GLOBAL EUROPE EMERGING MARKETS
    CHINA
    carosel-income-investing-china

    EXPLORING CHINA

    As one of the largest and relatively fast-growing economies, various sectors in China present diverse investment potential.

    Home Appliances

    China’s home appliance sales per capita last year was only 39% of its neighbouring Japan, which saw USD293 of home appliance sales per capita.

    The central government has been pursuing structural transformation to rebalance the economy and realise mainland’s potential to reach high-income status within the next two decades. As the country progressed further with economic advancement, higher living standard is expected to drive rising penetration in rural areas while replacement or upgrade demand may likely drive growth of home appliance spending in urban areas.

    chart-exploring-china-chart1
    Source: Euromonitor, CEIC, Citi, data available as of end-2015.

    Auto

    For new passenger car registration in 2015, domestic models recorded stronger momentum than imported premium models across all geographies in China. 

    China has been the largest automotive market in the world. Even with its large base, passenger car sales grew by a respectable 7.3% in 2014 and, by 2020, it is expected to boost annual vehicle sales of more than 30 million. Last year, mainland’s domestically made models of three major German premium brands saw much better registration growth than imported models, suggesting that local brands still enjoy competitive advantages in the automotive sector.

    Source: J.P. Morgan Securities, as of July 2016. EU SME Centre, as of 2015. Forbes, as of 04.03.2016.

    chart-exploring-china-chart2
    Source: CAM, Ministry of Public Security of the People's Republic of China, as of July 2016.
    ASIA
    carosel-income-investing-asia

    EYES ON ASIA

    Diverse investment implications are abound in the rich landscape of Asia, from telecommunication services to REITs.

    Internet Access

    While the Internet penetration rate in developed economies is as high as 81%, the picture in the Asia Pacific region is drastically different – 58.1% of the population in this region is still offline. 

    With Internet usage being the key trend, there is vast growth potential for access to information and communication technologies, particularly broadband. While global interconnectedness is on the rise, more needs to be done to bridge the digital divide and bring the offline population into the digital economy. Demand for more and faster data connection is expected to drive long–term growth of the Asia telecom industry.

    chart-eyes-on-asia-chart1
    Source: International Telecommunication Union, as of June 2016.

    REITs

    The first REIT in the Asia Pacific region was launched in Australia in 1971, which was one of the three REITs globally (the other two countries that had REITs back then were the US and Netherlands). 

    Over the past 20 years REITs have grown rapidly, with presence in only four countries in 1994 to more than 35 countries now. In Hong Kong, the first REIT was launched in 2005, which came later than some Asian economies including Taiwan, Singapore and Japan. The growth of REITs has been supported by governments (legislation) and investors, who look for an alternative “yield-based” investment with liquidity and different risk/reward dynamics from other investments. The impact has been a transfer of real estate assets from the direct ownership to listed ownership. The sector is seeing vast growth potential.

    chart-eyes-on-asia-chart2
    Source: UBS, as of July 2016.
    GLOBAL
    carosel-income-investing-global

    CAPTURING GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES

    Common themes across regions are offering investment opportunities, from productivity concerns to a rising middle class.

    Productivity

    Globally, meetings and emails are the biggest reasons for the loss of productive hours – employees on average receive over 100 emails per day! 

    According to research, the average number of emails an office worker receives each day is 121. In the US, most employees attend 62 meetings a month, an employee on average is interrupted 56 times a day, which are also considered culprits of productivity wastage. In fact, weaknesses in productivity growth (along with labour force and capital) on the supply side can lead to lower trend growth. Overall, supply side weakness can be an investment theme that offers opportunities.

    Sources of weakness in productivity growth

    Emails, meetings and interruptions

    chart-global-opportunities-chart1
    Source: DMR, Atlassian, data available as of August 2016.

    Middle Class

    Growth in emerging markets is likely to accelerate the expansion of the global middle class: from less than 1.8 billion people in 2009 to about 5 billion in 2030, of whom nearly two-thirds will be in Asia. 

    In China, the rise in wages and productivity is expected to spur rapid expansion of the middle class, which will, in turn, increase consumption. China’s large and growing middle class will become an even more important source in driving global demand, while the country’s industrial upgrading and expanding trade will lead to further specialisation and increased efficiency in world markets, and its increasingly educated labor force will become a force for global innovation.

    chart-guide-to-regions
    Source: The World Bank, as of 2013.
    EUROPE
    carosel-income-investing-europe

    TASTING THE MELLOWNESS OF EUROPE

    Interesting opportunities can be found in the region known for wine – and cycling – when it comes to investment.

    Wine

    The French are the fourth largest consumers of wine in the world, with each person drinking around 46 litres every year – more than two thirds of their own bodyweight. 

    The European Union is the world’s leader in wine production, with almost half of the global vine-growing area and approximately 65% of production by volume. France has been leading game the over the past few years. With China being the most important wine-consuming Asian country projected to become an even more dominant market for wine exporters by 2020, France is expected to further benefit as the largest exporter of wine to China’s market.

    Source: They Eat Horses, Don't They?: The Truth About the French, 2013. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. EU-27 Wine Annual Report and Statistics 2015, as of 24.02.2015. Evolving Consumption Patterns and Free Trade Agreements: Impacts on Global Wine Markets by 2020.

    chart-tasting-the-mellowness-of-europe-chart1
    Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. They Eat Horses, Don't They?: The Truth About the French, 2013.

    Bicycle

    Of the 10 countries with the highest rate of bicycle ownership, eight are European. The world’s greatest cycling nation by ownership is the Netherlands; in the Olympics, however, the world’s greatest cycling nation is the UK in terms of the performance in the Rio 2016 Olympics.

    Governments of most European countries are focusing on upgrading their road infrastructure by designing cycling tunnels, stop lines for cyclists, cycle track layout at bus stops and traffic light intersections. The children’s bicycle market in Europe will likely be propelled by increasing concerns over childhood obesity, greater availability of training programmes, a growing number of events to promote cycling among children, and the growth of organised retailing. The children’s bicycle market in Europe is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 2.31% during the period 2016-2020.

    Source: International Bicycle Fund, International Olympic Committee, Technavio, as of 2016.

    chart-tasting-the-mellowness-of-europe-chart2
    Source: International Bicycle Fund, International Olympic Committee, Technavio, as of 2016.
    EMERGING MARKETS
    carosel-income-investing-emerging

    POTENTIAL OF EMERGING MARKETS

    Latin America is more than just coffee beans and energy, when the consumption of diapers is pointing to exciting opportunities.

    Diapers

    Despite its low global market sales of diapers, Latin America has the highest growth rate at 20.3% in 2014 on a year-over-year basis. 

    Value sales share of diapers are the highest in North America and Europe, which accounts for 60% of global sales (32% and 28%, respectively). But emerging markets are seeing faster growth. In terms of value sales in 2014 on a year-over-year basis, the sector grew fastest in Latin America (20.3%), fueled by a combination of rising prices – which increased by 4.4% over the previous year – and strong volume growth in Venezuela and Mexico.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Source: Nielsen, as of August 2015.

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