3. China's onshore bonds
China has seen its onshore bond (CNY) market size reaching US$9.3 trillion, becoming one of the world’s largest bond markets.
Source: WIND, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as of February 2017.
Implications
By contrast, the China offshore CNH bond and offshore USD bond markets are relatively small^. With bond index inclusion and Bond Connect, it is hopeful that foreign ownership of onshore bonds will increase – with an estimated US$200 billion of potential inflows #.
^ China’s offshore CNH bond market as represented by the Citi Dim Sum Bond Index was US$18.6 billion, while China’s offshore USD bond market as represented by the JACI China was US$394.2 billion. Source: Citigroup, J.P. Morgan, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as of 29.09.2017.
# Source: Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, Standard Chartered Global Research, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as of 29.06.2017.