A one-page snapshot of market performance, statistics and trends.
The growth outlook for 2018 is robust, but two-sided inflation risks have emerged. We overweight equity, with marginally less conviction, downgrade investment grade credit and close our cash underweight. Our portfolio tilt is moderately pro-risk.
Expecting strong growth and contained inflation over the near term, we see a gradual path to central bank normalization. If inflation picks up, our outlook could change. Among our best ideas: European bank capital, U.S. high yield, securitized credit.
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