Notes on the Week Ahead

Start every week by listening to or reading commentary on the markets and economy by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

01/27/2025

White House Actions, Fed Reactions and Investing

This Wednesday, at 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve will release a statement on monetary policy. It will, as usual, be a brief and colorless document and will look paler still in comparison to the more than 60 executive orders, proclamations and memoranda that have emanated from the White House in the first week of the President’s new term.

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01/27/2025
1 day ago

Fiscal Fudge

I may have mentioned this before, but as a young lad, I had a very healthy appetite. Consequently, when deciding on a hobby, I prudently elected to go with “cooking”. My experiments included making fudge and my mother dutifully supplied me with sugar, vanilla and helpful advice.

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By David KellyDavid KellyDavid KellyChief Global Strategist
1 day ago
03/17/2025

The Wait and See Economy

I was at a conference last wI was running along the roads of our neighborhood last weekend when I came upon a small herd of deer. I often see these beautiful but dopey creatures at dawn as they wander aimlessly in the middle of the road. eek and a financial advisor asked me what I thought he should say when a client asked him what was so bad about tariffs.

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By David KellyDavid KellyDavid KellyChief Global Strategist
03/17/2025
03/03/2025

The Trouble with Tariffs

I was at a conference last week and a financial advisor asked me what I thought he should say when a client asked him what was so bad about tariffs.

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By David KellyDavid KellyDavid KellyChief Global Strategist
03/03/2025
02/24/2025

The Implications of Slowing Population Growth

In December, the Census Bureau announced that the U.S. population had grown by nearly 1% in the year ended July 1st, 2024, marking the strongest annual gain since 2001. Given this, it seems strange to be already talking about slowing population growth.

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By David KellyDavid KellyDavid KellyChief Global Strategist
02/24/2025
02/18/2025

The Growth Drag from Policy Uncertainty

In the four weeks since he took office, the president has issued an extraordinary number of executive orders, while promising dramatic change across the full reach of the federal government.

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By David KellyDavid KellyDavid KellyChief Global Strategist
02/18/2025