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investment-outlook-2026-macro

 

 

 

Investment Outlook 2026

Fuel in the engine  

With policy and innovation powering the global economy, investors are on a journey full of promise and potential derailments. Read our Investment Outlook 2026 to discover how diversifying across regions and sectors, and preparing for inflation or asset bubbles can help navigate the twists and turns.
 

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Stay Current

  • Guide to the Markets
  • The Weekly Brief

Guide to the Markets

The J.P. Morgan Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic histories, trends and statistics through clear charts and graphs.

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Investment Principles

The key to successful investing isn’t predicting the future, it’s learning from the past and understanding the present. We present seven time-test strategies.

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Webconferences

Listen to recorded updates from our portfolio managers and market strategists and register for future editions. These materials are for financial professionals only.

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On the Minds of Investors

Portfolio Insights

Global Asset Allocation Views 2Q 2026

Investors are contemplating a wider range of potential macro outcomes and a fatter bearish left tail. We maintain a modest risk-on stance, including an equity overweight. In fixed income, we lean into shorter duration as yield curves steepen. Our credit positioning is neutral, reflecting the asymmetric distribution of returns.

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Global Fixed Income Views 2Q 2026

Against the backdrop of a geopolitical and energy market shock, we significantly reduce the probability of economic expansion (still marginally our base case) and increase the likelihood of contraction. We see better risk-reward at the front end of the Treasury curve and find opportunity to go up in credit quality.

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Global Equity Views 2Q 2026

Despite higher energy costs, the outlook for profits is robust. While earnings growth is broadening beyond tech leaders, the AI investment boom remains a dominant theme. High valuations in some areas temper our enthusiasm for aggressive positioning. We find the most compelling opportunities in out-of-favor quality stocks.

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Factor Views 2Q 2026

Factors posted a largely positive Q1 despite market volatility. U.S. momentum led equity factor gains while commodity supply disruptions lifted certain factors. We maintain a positive outlook on factors: Equity value is attractive globally and the U.S. quality factor is inexpensive.

Read the latest views

Factor Views 2Q 2026

Factors posted a largely positive Q1 despite market volatility. U.S. momentum led equity factor gains while commodity supply disruptions lifted certain factors. We maintain a positive outlook on factors: Equity value is attractive globally and the U.S. quality factor is inexpensive.

Read the latest views

ETF Perspectives

Explore insights from J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s ETF research. In addition discover data and commentary on current topics related to ETF classes and strategies.

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The value of investments may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the full amount invested.