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  1. Insights

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Insights

In-depth analysis into markets and the evolving investment landscape from our expert investment teams and strategists.

Market Insights

Our Market Insights program is designed to empower investors to make better investment decisions.

Go To:

  • Guide to the Markets
  • Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions
  • Principles for Global Diversification

1Q 2026 Global Asset Allocation Views

We anticipate modestly above-trend growth in 2026 and take a pro-risk tilt in portfolios. We remain overweight equity in the U.S., Japan, and parts of the emerging markets. On duration our stance is neutral, but with a steepening bias. We underweight USD.

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2Q 2026 Global Fixed Income Views

Against the backdrop of a geopolitical and energy market shock, we significantly reduce the probability of economic expansion (still marginally our base case) and increase the likelihood of contraction. We see better risk-reward at the front end of the Treasury curve and find opportunity to go up in credit quality.

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1Q 2026 Global Equity Views

The outlook for corporate profits is healthy. After a strong year of returns, we don’t see much room for valuations to rise further. Many of our investors are now a little more cautious on technology but still see big opportunities for stock selection within the sector.

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1Q 2026 Factor Views

Factors rose on average in 4Q 2025, some to all-time highs, led by international developed market equity factors and the value factor. Macro factors were mixed: While momentum rose, dispersion in commodity markets dragged on the carry factor.

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For important information, please refer to the homepage.