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Insights

In-depth analysis into markets and the evolving investment landscape from our expert investment teams and strategists.

Market Insights

Our Market Insights program is designed to empower investors to make better investment decisions.

Go To:

  • Guide to the Markets
  • Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions
  • Principles for Global Diversification

4Q 2025 Global Asset Allocation Views

U.S. and global growth look to be resilient in 2026. Our pro-risk tilt in portfolios is expressed through equities, while tight spreads keep us near neutral in credit. Big tech continues to lead in earnings and cash flow generation. We anticipate a weaker dollar and steeper yield curves.

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1Q 2026 Global Fixed Income Views

As the global economy ends the year stronger than expected, we anticipate stable growth and moderating inflation will support bond markets. Amid some labor market concerns, the consumer overall remains stable and fiscal stimulus is expected. We have increased the probability of Above Trend Growth to 40%, reflecting numerous signs of strength. Our preferences include carry-oriented investment grade, leveraged and convertible credit; emerging market bonds and securitized debt.

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1Q 2026 Global Equity Views

The outlook for corporate profits is healthy. After a strong year of returns, we don’t see much room for valuations to rise further. Many of our investors are now a little more cautious on technology but still see big opportunities for stock selection within the sector.

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4Q 2025 Factor Views

Equity factors continued to diverge by region: U.S. equity value and quality were challenged by a speculative market tone, while international equity factors posted another strong quarter. Momentum and carry factors were all positive.

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For important information, please refer to the homepage.