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    1. Asset Class Views | Portfolio Insights

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    Asset Class Views

    Commentary, strategic perspectives and in-depth analysis from our investment teams to help guide your portfolio decisions.

    Global Asset Allocation Views 3Q 2023

    The economy faces slightly subtrend growth, with risks in both directions. We maintain a duration overweight, upgrade equity to neutral, remain neutral on credit and keep a slight overweight to cash. As stock-bond correlations follow inflation lower we favor selectively adding more risk-on positions.

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    Global Fixed Income Views 4Q 2023

    Recession and Sub Trend Growth are now our equal-weighted base cases at 50% each. We reduced the probability of Recession by 5% and increased the likelihood of Sub Trend Growth by 10%. Our top pick: short-duration securitized credit.

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    Global Equity Views 3Q 2023

    Our portfolio managers are modestly positive on markets. Despite high valuations, we think it is too early to take a stance against the AI winners. We prefer quality stocks across sectors, but the most obviously defensive stocks look overpriced.

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    Factor Views 3Q 2023

    Factor performance remained broadly positive despite a quarter of twists and turns. Macro carry factors enjoyed their second best quarter since the global financial crisis. Equity factors, especially value, look well supported by current valuations.

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