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Latest Insights

(Long Duration) Securitized should be ignored no more.

The securitized asset class, once overshadowed by the global financial crisis, has evolved with regulatory improvements and may offer diversification benefits and counter-cyclical performance, making it a potentially valuable addition to portfolios with varying risk/return objectives.

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FOMC Statement June 2025

Market Views from the Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities (GFICC) group

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How I learned to stop worrying and love EM local currency

“Now let's get this thing on the hump — we got some flyin' to do.” (Major T. J. "King" Kong in Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb)

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But what about the deficit?

On the heels of Moody’s rating downgrade of US Treasuries and continuing budget negotiations in the US Congress, higher uncertainty has resulted in a re-pricing of term premium in the bond market.

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Weekly Cross Market Meeting Notes - May 20, 2025

Weekly Cross Market Meeting Notes: Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC)

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Tech cycle – A top-down perspective of EM Asia

The Asia region is an important production hub of global semiconductors and its peripheral products, accounting for more than 50% of global markets share, with South Korea, Taiwan and Mainland China leading in production and innovation. In this blog, we explore the semiconductor landscape in Asia and assess the macro implications for the Asia technology (tech) cycle.

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Weekly Cross Market Meeting Notes – May 13, 2025

Weekly Cross Market Meeting Notes: Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC)

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FOMC Statement: May 2025

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

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Weekly Cross Market Meeting Notes - April 29, 2025

Weekly Cross Market Meeting Notes: Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC)

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China: Analyzing the 2025 fiscal plan amid rising AI and tariffs

In this blog, we discuss the fiscal package for 2025 against rising AI (artificial intelligence) and accelerated tariffs and assess the corresponding economic impact.

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A Tale of Two Recoveries: The K-Shaped Path of U.S. Consumer Resilience

The situation around the consumer continues to be complex, with K-shaped outcomes persisting, necessitating rigorous and disciplined security selection in consumer credit investments.

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FOMC Statement: March 2025

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

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FOMC Statement: January 2025

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

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GSE Reform Resurfaces: Challenges and Implications

Potential reform of the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) could have significant implications for investors, taxpayers, and the broader housing market.

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China 2025: Trade War 2.0

In this blog, we discuss our GDP forecast for 2025 and China’s policy responses to trade war 2.0.

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FOMC Statement: December 2024

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

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Rising Strong: Emerging Market Companies Adapt to Thrive

Emerging market companies adapt to thrive

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Fundamentals “Trump” Politics – Emerging Markets Debt under Trump 2.0

Emerging Markets Debt under Trump 2.0

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FOMC Statement: November 2024

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

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Dissecting Labour Markets is Key to Differentiating Cycles

What does the Fed's pivot mean for the ECB and BoE? Labour market differences will be the key driver.

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Currency selection - a question of trust

Next week, the BRICS nations are meeting to further discuss how to reduce their reliance on the US dollar. What are the potential implications for the global currency landscape?

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FOMC Statement: September 2024

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

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FOMC Statement: July 2024

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

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How much protection will the USD offer you in a global recession?

We believe any US dollar rally in a global recession will be short, shallow or may not even take place at all…learn why.

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FOMC Statement: September 2021

Following the Fed’s announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. Rates team.

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FOMC statement & potential impact on fixed income

Following the Fed's announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Team (GFICC).

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Multiple reasons for multi-family

The agency CMBS market offers an attractive way for fixed income investors to access one of the more resilient sectors of the commercial real estate market.

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'Blue ripple' and the USD outlook

The ‘Blue wave’ the market had prepared for now appears to be more of a ‘Blue ripple’ and currency markets are adjusting to a different political outlook.

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Add extra guacamole for a dollar!

Emerging Markets Local Currency debt emerged as one of our best ideas at our most recent investment quarterly meeting. This isn't just about the US Dollar; we like what we see in local EM.

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Trading the thrill of the ECB chase

We review July's ECB monetary policy and determine the impacts on the ECB and the Eurozone.

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