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          Mid-Year Investment Outlook 2026

          Enough fuel in the engine

          Explore our Mid-Year Outlook to get our latest insights on the global economy and the prospects for global markets, including the main opportunities and risks for investors.
           

          Explore

           

          Our flagship Insights

          Guide to the Markets

          The J.P. Morgan Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic histories, trends and statistics through clear charts and graphs.

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          Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

          Discover J.P. Morgan's Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, drawing on the best thinking of our experienced investment professionals worldwide.

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          Guide to Alternatives

          Get insights on macro topics such as manager dispersion, while also diving into real estate, private credit, private equity and hedge funds and more.

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          Featured Portfolio Insights

          Global Asset Allocation Views 4Q 2026

          Our base case assumes steady nominal growth and disinflation over the coming year. We are constructive on equities, with a preference for the U.S. and Japan. We lean into U.S. high yield for carry and prefer a long duration position in Europe rather than the U.S.

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          Factor Views 3Q 2026

          Factors extended gains in Q2, on average, led by equity momentum. We maintain a positive outlook for factors overall: Equity value and equity quality are historically inexpensive; equity momentum could climb, with heightened risk. We recommend diversification among and across factors more than ever.

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          Global Fixed Income Views 4Q 2026

          Evidence of central banks’ independence and inflation fighting credibility, solid economic data and corporate profits, robust capex and resilient consumers lift the likelihood of expansion to 85%, overpowering headwinds from inflation and pushback against AI.

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          Emerging Market Debt Quarterly Strategy

          Our quarterly EMD strategy report assesses the latest economic developments in emerging markets and sets out our base case scenario for the asset class.

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          Global Equity Views 3Q 2026

          Massive AI investment spending is driving exceptional profit growth. Markets have moved mostly in line with earnings and valuations don’t look excessive. We find long-term value among the so-called “AI losers” and in many defensive stocks far from the AI boom.

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