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investment-outlook-2026-macro

 

 

 

Investment Outlook 2026

Fuel in the engine  

With policy and innovation powering the global economy, investors are on a journey full of promise and potential derailments. Read our Investment Outlook 2026 to discover how diversifying across regions and sectors, and preparing for inflation or asset bubbles can help navigate the twists and turns.
 

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Our flagship Insights

Guide to the Markets

The J.P. Morgan Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic histories, trends and statistics through clear charts and graphs.

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Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

Discover J.P. Morgan's Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, drawing on the best thinking of our experienced investment professionals worldwide.

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Guide to Alternatives

Get insights on macro topics such as manager dispersion, while also diving into real estate, private credit, private equity and hedge funds and more.

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Featured Portfolio Insights

Global Asset Allocation Views 1Q 2026

We anticipate modestly above-trend growth in 2026 and take a pro-risk tilt in portfolios. We remain overweight equity in the U.S., Japan, and parts of the emerging markets. On duration our stance is neutral, but with a steepening bias. We underweight USD.

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Factor Views 4Q 2025

Equity factors continued to diverge by region: U.S. equity value and quality were challenged by a speculative market tone, while international equity factors posted another strong quarter. Momentum and carry factors were all positive.

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Global Fixed Income Views 1Q 2026

As the global economy ends the year stronger than expected, we anticipate stable growth and moderating inflation will support bond markets. Amid some labor market concerns, the consumer overall remains stable and fiscal stimulus is expected. We have increased the probability of Above Trend Growth to 40%, reflecting numerous signs of strength. Our preferences include carry-oriented investment grade, leveraged and convertible credit; emerging market bonds and securitized debt.

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Emerging Market Debt Quarterly Strategy

Our quarterly EMD strategy report assesses the latest economic developments in emerging markets and sets out our base case scenario for the asset class.

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Global Equity Views 4Q 2025

Profits seem to be accelerating and 2026 looks solid. Many of our investors have become somewhat more cautious. We suggest diversifying from recent winners and focusing strongly on quality stocks, especially in the small cap space.

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