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Insights

In-depth analysis into markets and the evolving investment landscape from our expert investment teams and strategists.

Market Insights

Our Market Insights programme is designed to empower investors to make better investment decisions.

The Guide to the Markets illustrates market and economic trends using compelling charts. The Weekly Brief provides summaries of recent market movements and economic developments; and On the Minds of Investors gives you our views on the questions that are top of mind.

Go to:

  • The Weekly Brief
  • On the Minds of Investors
  • Investment Principles
  • Investment Outlook

Introducing the Q4 2019 Guide

Vincent Juvyns, Global Market Strategist, previews this quarter's themes and invites you to use the Guide to help navigate the investment landscape.

Download the Guide to the Markets

Portfolio Insights

Commentary, strategic perspectives and in-depth analysis from our investment teams to help guide your portfolio decisions.

Global Asset Allocation Views Q4 2019

Weakness in global trade and manufacturing dampen the global growth outlook. We keep a modest underweight to stocks, trim credit back to neutral given a deterioration in corporate fundamentals, and maintain a small overweight to USD cash.

Read the latest views

Global Fixed Income Views Q4 2019

We doubled Recession probability to 40%, lowering Above Trend Growth from 25% to 10% and Sub Trend Growth from 45% to 40%. We favor: 10- and 30-yr Treasuries, short- and intermediate-term investment grade corporates and selected securitized instruments.

Read the latest views

Global Equity Views Q4 2019

As corporate profit growth has slowed, we have a more balanced outlook on equity markets. Valuations are mostly well within historical norms and we’re seeing opportunities among higher growth companies with sustainable profits and cash generation.

Read the latest views

Emerging Market Equity Views Q2 2019

While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding, and expected returns are above average.

Read the latest views

Emerging Market Debt Strategy Q4 2019

We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.

Read the latest views

Factor Views Q4 2019

Factor performance was positive, on balance. Equity value and momentum experienced sharp reversals in early September. Event-driven factors were mixed and macro factors were up across the board despite geopolitical uncertainty.

Read the latest views

The value of investments may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the full amount invested.

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