Understanding China fixed income market and the role of ETFs in it
In this video, Tai Hui, Chief Market Strategist, Asia Pacific, and Sean Cunningham, Asia Head of ETFs, discuss the opportunities of China fixed income market and how ETF strategies play a role in investors' portfolios when navigating this market.
Hi I am Tai Hui, Chief Market Strategist, Asia Pacific of J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Investors around the world in recent years have found it difficult to generate income and diversify their portfolio.
We believe that China fixed income offer some interesting attributes to address some of these challenges.
First, Chinese government and corporate bonds offer higher yields than developed market counterparts. Chinese and Japanese government bonds are both rated A+ by Standard & Poor but 1-year China government bond offers around 2% of yield, compared with negative yields for the equivalent in Japan.
Second, since the US and other developed economies are looking to raise interest rates, which could lead to decline in bond prices, China is loosening monetary policy to achieve their 5.5% growth target for 2022, including reducing reserve requirement and also cutting lending rate. These are much more supportive backdrop for fixed income.
Third, our research shows that China fixed income has low correlation with the global fixed income market. Hence, they often move in independent fashion. This offers diversification benefits when investors are constructing their portfolio. China’s bond market is already the second largest in the world and its importance to the global market is rising with more international investors participating.
Finally, we also expect the Renminbi exchange rate to remain broadly stable due to China’s sizeable current account surplus, i.e. they are exporting a lot more than importing. And also the ongoing capital inflow into the Chinese financial market.
Overall, we see a strong case for including Chinese fixed income when building our portfolio for both long term structural reasons, as well as looking at some of the current economic and monetary environment.
Hi I am Sean Cunningham, Asia Head of ETFs of J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
It is helpful to understand from Tai about the opportunities of China fixed income market.
Given the continuous headlines that China is getting as a market, and how we are seeing index inclusion evolve to more appropriate concentration levels in line with the size of that market, it’s important to look at China through different lenses.
Firstly, how you track global Fixed Income benchmarks; and then secondly, and really importantly, how a market like China can add alpha to investor portfolios and provide yield opportunities in a global phenomenon of low rates.
At J.P. Morgan Asset Management, we have been focused on innovation in the China Fixed Income space; seeking unique, future-proofed solutions with a thoughtful view on China Corporate Credit and relatively attractive areas of the market, such as in the ultra-Short Duration space. We have strategically designed well diversified strategies that aim to evolve with the market over time.
In particular, we have employed approaches covering both short- to long- duration when developing our China fixed income ETF strategies; seeking to provide unconventional solutions to current investor challenges, and with expertise from our Fixed Income and Global Liquidity investment teams.
On one hand, we consider the future state of China inclusion into global indices and partner with a leading index provider to customize a benchmark that tracks the China Aggregate bond market. On the other hand, we add China to existing, well-received range of ultra-short duration ETF strategy globally.
Serving different needs across investment duration, we believe our China fixed income ETF strategies have a significant role to play in investors’ portfolios.
Thank you very much for joining us today. If you have any question, please reach out to your J.P. Morgan Asset Management client advisor.
Why we are looking at China fixed income
2021 has shown us how diverse various parts of the China fixed income market can be. While major developments such as a policy shift designed to promote long-term stability and reduce systemic risks have challenged some renminbi and onshore bonds, they have also given rise to exciting opportunities.
An evolving market
China’s bond market has grown rapidly and is now the world’s second largest. China fixed income allocation will continue to grow in broad indices, with different elements of the China fixed income universe increasing in size and significance.
Diversification benefits
Both onshore and offshore China bonds exhibit a lower correlation with global aggregate and developed market bonds when compared with those in emerging markets, presenting opportunities for relatively attractive risk-adjusted returns.
* Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.
Compelling opportunities
China's bond market presents opportunities for higher yields compared with some developed markets. With a supportive monetary policy, China is likely to maintain domestic economic growth and a relatively stable exchange rate in our opinion.
Help standardize and simplify bond investing
Bond ETFs trade on exchange and provide transparent pricing. Bond ETFs can act as a price discovery tool, helping investors see how the value of a basket of bond securities may be changing in reaction to market movements.
Facilitate diversification and tactical portfolio allocations
For the price of one unit, investors can get access to a well-diversified fixed income portfolio. Bond ETFs also allow asset allocation decisions to be implemented quickly and efficiently. Investors can use ETFs to gain exposure to a wide range of bond markets.
* Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.
Liquidity benefits compared to transacting directly in the underlying bond markets
The ETF secondary market is an additional liquidity venue through which to transact on-exchange or over the counter. In the case of larger bond ETFs, buyers and sellers are often able to transact at lower bid-ask spreads than through the primary market.
Our China Bond ETF strategies
Employing a short-duration approach
The strategy focuses on relatively stable and liquid investments as it seeks opportunities to offer a potentially higher return than similar maturity cash products. Our approaches include:
- Using a disciplined, robust, repeatable, risk-controlled investment process, ensuring security
- Diversifying across sectors and issuers to reduce idiosyncratic risk
- Laddering maturities to enable good liquidity whilst capturing income opportunities
Employing a longer-duration approach
We strive to build beta exposure to help seek opportunities enhancing the return potential of broad market portfolios whilst reducing market cap risk biases. Our approaches include:
- Partnering with a leading index provider to cuztomize a benchmark that tracks the China Aggregate Bond market
- Applying a liquidity filter to focus investment in high-quality issuers
- Targeting the future state of inclusion
Risk management does not imply elimination of risks, diversification does not guarantee positive returns and eliminates risks of loss. Investment invovles risks and are not similar or comparable to deposits. Not all investments are suitable for all investors. |