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          Mid-Year Investment Outlook 2026

          Enough fuel in the engine

          Explore our Mid-Year Outlook to get our latest insights on the global economy and the prospects for global markets, including the main opportunities and risks for investors.
           

          Explore

           

          The Weekly Brief
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          Our flagship Insights

          Guide to the Markets

          The J.P. Morgan Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic histories, trends and statistics through clear charts and graphs.

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          Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

          Discover J.P. Morgan's Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, drawing on the best thinking of our experienced investment professionals worldwide.

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          Guide to Alternatives

          Get insights on macro topics such as manager dispersion, while also diving into real estate, private credit, private equity and hedge funds and more.

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          Market Commentary

          How mega-cap tech IPOs could reshape S&P, Nasdaq and FTSE

          Mega-cap IPOs in 2026 show why private market access is crucial. Learn how companies like SpaceX and OpenAI impact market dynamics and your investment approach.

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          US midterms 2026: divided government, policy outlook and market implications

          US midterms 2026 are likely to deliver divided government and policy gridlock. Explore what it could mean for debt ceiling risks, trade, AI regulation and markets.

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          Hyperscaler debt issuance and the AI buildout: implications for IG credit

          Rising artificial intelligence (AI) investment is driving hyperscaler debt issuance. Explore how this shift in funding could reshape fixed income markets and offer investors a more defensive way to gain exposure to the AI theme.

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          Understanding the shifting risks of passive investing

          Discover the risks of passive investing in today’s shifting economic and political tides, and how they influence portfolio returns.

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          Understanding gold and its role in portfolios

          Explore the drivers behind the recent rise in gold, the outlook for gold prices, and the role that gold can play in a diversified investment portfolio.

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          Investors seeking resilience should consider a quality bias

          Explore how investing in quality stocks can build resilient portfolios, offering stability and outperformance in uncertain market conditions.

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          A new path for the US dollar

          Uncover the factors influencing the future path of the US dollar and what they mean for investors.

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          Key questions shaping the outlook for AI megacaps

          Uncover how AI megacaps are tackling innovation, business shifts, and future chip demand in a changing landscape.

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          Sustainability and portfolio returns

          Read about the complex issues at the heart of measuring the financial impact of ESG investing.

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          Featured Portfolio Insights

          Global Asset Allocation Views 4Q 2026

          Our base case assumes steady nominal growth and disinflation over the coming year. We are constructive on equities, with a preference for the U.S. and Japan. We lean into U.S. high yield for carry and prefer a long duration position in Europe rather than the U.S.

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          Factor Views 3Q 2026

          Factors extended gains in Q2, on average, led by equity momentum. We maintain a positive outlook for factors overall: Equity value and equity quality are historically inexpensive; equity momentum could climb, with heightened risk. We recommend diversification among and across factors more than ever.

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          Global Fixed Income Views 4Q 2026

          Evidence of central banks’ independence and inflation fighting credibility, solid economic data and corporate profits, robust capex and resilient consumers lift the likelihood of expansion to 85%, overpowering headwinds from inflation and pushback against AI.

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          Emerging Market Debt Quarterly Strategy

          Our quarterly EMD strategy report assesses the latest economic developments in emerging markets and sets out our base case scenario for the asset class.

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          Global Equity Views 3Q 2026

          Massive AI investment spending is driving exceptional profit growth. Markets have moved mostly in line with earnings and valuations don’t look excessive. We find long-term value among the so-called “AI losers” and in many defensive stocks far from the AI boom.

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          Why savers need to get invested and stay invested

          Attempting to time the market and holding excessive cash allocations can drive long-term portfolio underperformance. Staying invested to compound returns prevails over the long haul.

          Read more
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