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    Mid-Year Investment Outlook 2022

    Assessing recession risk

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    Guide to the Markets

    The Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic histories, trends and statistics through clear charts and graphs.

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    Guide to Alternatives

    Get insights on macro topics such as manager dispersion, while also diving into real estate, private credit, private equity and hedge funds and more.

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    EOTM

    Eye on the Market

    Eye on the Market offers timely commentary and views on the economy, markets, and investment portfolios from Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy.

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    Featured Portfolio Insights

    Global Asset Allocation Views 2Q 2022

    As asset markets recalibrate, we expect ongoing volatility and reduce risk levels accordingly. We trim equities to neutral, keep our duration underweight and remain overweight credit. Later in 2022 we see potential for better returns as uncertainty clears.

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    Global Equity Views 2Q 2022

    Despite recent weakness in global markets, many of our portfolio managers remain rather cautious about the outlook. Quality and predictability, as well as modest valuations, matter most in this environment.

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    Global Fixed Income Views 3Q 2022

    Sub Trend Growth is now our base case scenario, at 45%. We cut our expectation of Above Trend Growth to 20%, increased Recession to 25% and left Crisis at 10%. Our best idea: high quality, short-duration bonds, in particular short-dated investment grade corporate bonds and securitized credit.

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    Factor Views 2Q 2022

    Amid tumultuous markets, factors generally had a positive quarter. Equity value, merger arbitrage and commodity factors all fared particularly well. We see an attractive outlook for equity factors, which remain historically cheap.

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