Portfolio Insights - J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Portfolio Insights

Asset class views from our senior investors

Global Asset Allocation Views 3Q 2019

Trade disputes are raising the downside risks to our forecast for slightly subtrend growth. We retain our mild underweight to stocks and prefer to take risk in carry assets like credit. Reflecting valuations, we downgrade duration to neutral.
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Global Equity Views 3Q19

After a strong first half, we are a little cautious, but see no reason to move aggressively away from equity exposure. Many defensive stocks are richly priced, we see opportunity in out-of-favor value, and we continue to monitor trade tensions.
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Global Fixed Income Views 3Q19

Given trade escalations, Sub Trend Growth is our base case (45% probability) with Recession probability at 20% as consumer and corporate confidence erode. Favored sectors: three- to five-year corporates, long government bonds, and short securitized credit.
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