How should investors consider the impact of climate change on their portfolios?
Vincent Juvyns, Global Market Strategist, looks at how investors can manage climate-related risks in their portfolios, while also driving real change.
As the recovery is gaining pace, we maintain a risk-on tilt. We spread our risk between stocks and credit, move to underweight the U.S. dollar and mildly underweight duration. Expecting some volatility over the autumn we look to remain nimble.
After unprecedented global stimulus stabilized economies, what’s next? Many challenges. Still, Above Trend Growth remains our base case at a reduced 60% probability. Our preferences: higher beta U.S. corporates and munis; some local emerging market debt.
Our updated base case view, to which we assign a 60% probability, looks for global growth to bottom out and gradually transition to a shallow recovery. We see only a moderate risk of inflation, as activity and commodity prices remain low. In this core scenario, we expect central banks to remain accommodative, which we think will support emerging market assets.
Our 12- to 18-month outlook for a wide range of alternative asset classes, drawing on the insights of more than 700 professionals around the globe to explore how alternative asset allocation can help build resilient portfolios, reduce risk and satisfy investor appetite for income and alpha.