Global Fixed income views 1Q 2026
As the global economy ends the year stronger than expected, we anticipate stable growth and moderating inflation will support bond markets. Amid some labor market concerns, the consumer overall remains stable and fiscal stimulus is expected. We have increased the probability of Above Trend Growth to 40%, reflecting numerous signs of strength. Our preferences include carry-oriented investment grade, leveraged and convertible credit; emerging market bonds and securitized debt.