Skip to main content
logo
  • Funds
    Overview

    Funds

    • Global Bond Opportunities
    • Global Income
    • Global Macro Opportunities
    • Global Research Enhanced Index

    ETF BDRs

    • ETF BRDs Investing
    • Education
  • Insights
    Overview

    Market Insights

    • Guide to the Markets
    • Guide to Investing in Asia
    • Principles for global diversification

    Portfolio Insights

    • Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions
    • Asset Class Views
  • About us
    Overview

    About us

    • Diversity & Inclusion
  • How to invest
  • Language
    • English
    • Português/ Portuguese
  • Role
  • Country
Search
Menu
Search
  1. Surviving the short term to thrive in the long term

  • LinkedIn Twitter Facebook WhatsApp

Surviving the short term to thrive in the long term

Building investor resilience in a downturn

With the U.S. economy firmly in late cycle, investors are concerned. How can they ensure their portfolios survive the short term so they can thrive in the long term? The answer would be fairly straightforward if recessions were all alike and had a predictable impact across markets—but they’re not, and they don’t.

We can’t predict how the next recession will unfold, but we can provide a framework to help investors prepare for the late-cycle risks most relevant to their investment needs and objectives. This article:

  • Looks back at a range of developed market recession experiences over the past four decades and the resulting sequence of market reactions for each

  • Looks ahead at four plausible downturn scenarios and assesses potential market responses

  • Analyzes the likely impact of these scenarios and market responses for different types of investors

Download the full article

The infographic below uses illustrations to convey the main talking points and areas of interest covered in the article.


1. With the U.S. economy firmly in late cycle, investors around the world are considering the next recession and how to prepare for it.

Building investor resilience in a downturn infographic 1

2. We have developed a framework to help different investors assess their resilience to plausible recession scenarios.

Building investor resilience in a downturn infographic 2

3. Broadly, we believe many long-term investors have improved their fitness level and ability to ride out a downturn, but the risk of fragility remains.

Building investor resilience in a downturn infographic 3

Download the infographic

You should also read


Full report and exec summary

Choose between a comprehensive analysis of our forecasts and critical investment themes, or a simpler overview of our macro and asset class assumptions.

Download the latest full report >

Download the latest executive summary >

 


The taming of the business cycle

In recent decades, the U.S. economy has become more stable – the business cycle has certainly not been eliminated, but perhaps it has been tamed.

Read the next article >

 

 


LTCMA

J.P. Morgan Asset Management's Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions draws on the best thinking of our experienced investment professionals worldwide. 

Find out more >

 

Este website possui finalidade informativa, de natureza educacional, e não foi elaborado com o intuito de servir como recomendação para produtos ou estratégias de investimento em qualquer jurisdição. Ao acessar este conteúdo, você concorda com a finalidade pretendida. Todos os exemplos usados são genéricos, hipotéticos e apenas para fins ilustrativos. O J.P. Morgan Asset Management e suas afiliadas não sugerem que quem visita este website tome qualquer ação específica. Este conteúdo não é imparcial e está sendo fornecido em conexão com a publicidade dos serviços de gestão de recursos para fundos de investimento. Antes de tomar qualquer decisão financeira, o investidor deve buscar orientação de consultores financeiros, jurídicos, tributários e profissionais que levem em conta todas as circunstâncias particulares de cada investidor. As opiniões aqui descritas baseiam-se nas condições atuais de mercado e estão sujeitas a alterações sem aviso prévio. Acreditamos que as informações fornecidas aqui são confiáveis, mas não devem ser consideradas precisas ou completas e/ou servir como base para decisões de investimento. As visões e estratégias descritas podem não ser adequadas para todos os investidores.


J.P. Morgan Asset Management é a marca comercial para a divisão de gestão de ativos do JPMorgan Chase & Co. e afiliadas no mundo.