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            Mid-Year Investment Outlook 2026

            Enough fuel in the engine

            Explore our Mid-Year Outlook to get our latest insights on the global economy and the prospects for global markets, including the main opportunities and risks for investors.
             

            Explore

             

            The Weekly Brief
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            Our flagship Insights

            Guide to the Markets

            The J.P. Morgan Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic histories, trends and statistics through clear charts and graphs.

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            Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

            Discover J.P. Morgan's Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions, drawing on the best thinking of our experienced investment professionals worldwide.

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            Guide to Alternatives

            Get insights on macro topics such as manager dispersion, while also diving into real estate, private credit, private equity and hedge funds and more.

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            Market Commentary

            Hyperscaler debt issuance and the AI buildout: implications for IG credit

            Rising artificial intelligence (AI) investment is driving hyperscaler debt issuance. Explore how this shift in funding could reshape fixed income markets and offer investors a more defensive way to gain exposure to the AI theme.

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            How mega-cap tech IPOs could reshape S&P, Nasdaq and FTSE

            Mega-cap IPOs in 2026 show why private market access is crucial. Learn how companies like SpaceX and OpenAI impact market dynamics and your investment approach.

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            Understanding the shifting risks of passive investing

            Discover the risks of passive investing in today’s shifting economic and political tides, and how they influence portfolio returns.

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            Understanding gold and its role in portfolios

            Explore the drivers behind the recent rise in gold, the outlook for gold prices, and the role that gold can play in a diversified investment portfolio.

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            Investors seeking resilience should consider a quality bias

            Explore how investing in quality stocks can build resilient portfolios, offering stability and outperformance in uncertain market conditions.

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            A new path for the US dollar

            Uncover the factors influencing the future path of the US dollar and what they mean for investors.

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            Key questions shaping the outlook for AI megacaps

            Uncover how AI megacaps are tackling innovation, business shifts, and future chip demand in a changing landscape.

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            Sustainability and portfolio returns

            Read about the complex issues at the heart of measuring the financial impact of ESG investing.

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            Featured Portfolio Insights

            Global Asset Allocation Views 3Q 2026

            Against a backdrop of resilient growth and a fading energy shock, we reaffirm our positive view on risk assets. In equities we favor the U.S., Japan and emerging markets. We overweight U.S. high yield and are neutral on U.S. Treasuries. Given downside risks to growth in Europe, we are long European duration.

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            Factor Views 3Q 2026

            Factors extended gains in Q2, on average, led by equity momentum. We maintain a positive outlook for factors overall: Equity value and equity quality are historically inexpensive; equity momentum could climb, with heightened risk. We recommend diversification among and across factors more than ever.

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            Global Fixed Income Views 4Q 2026

            Evidence of central banks’ independence and inflation fighting credibility, solid economic data and corporate profits, robust capex and resilient consumers lift the likelihood of expansion to 85%, overpowering headwinds from inflation and pushback against AI.

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            Emerging Market Debt Quarterly Strategy

            Our quarterly EMD strategy report assesses the latest economic developments in emerging markets and sets out our base case scenario for the asset class.

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            Global Equity Views 3Q 2026

            Massive AI investment spending is driving exceptional profit growth. Markets have moved mostly in line with earnings and valuations don’t look excessive. We find long-term value among the so-called “AI losers” and in many defensive stocks far from the AI boom.

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            Why savers need to get invested and stay invested

            Attempting to time the market and holding excessive cash allocations can drive long-term portfolio underperformance. Staying invested to compound returns prevails over the long haul.

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