MOST POPULAR INSIGHTS
FEATURED PORTFOLIO INSIGHTS
Global Asset Allocation Views 3Q20
Our updated views reflect a moderately greater risk tolerance and a recognition that central banks are “all in.” We are neutral stocks vs. bonds, prefer U.S. equities, overweight investment grade credit and reduce duration to a small underweight.
Global Fixed Income Views 3Q20
After a historic quarter of global pandemic and breathtaking fiscal and monetary support, we believe GDP has bottomed. Above Trend Growth is our base case (80% probability). Our preferences include bank capital and high quality securitized credit.
Emerging Market Debt Strategy 2Q20
We adjust down our 2020 growth and return expectations for emerging market debt and introduce new base and bear case scenarios, as rapid transmission of the COVID-19 coronavirus slows economies around the world. We have increased the probability of our bear case scenario, which expects a technical recession in the first half of 2020.