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Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions

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Global Alternatives Outlook

Explore the most promising investment ideas across our global alternatives platform and learn why alternatives are no longer optional—but essential.

Global Asset Allocation Views 3Q 2024

The data reaffirm our base case view of moderating growth and cooling inflation. We overweight equities and credit and underweight duration. In equities we favor the U.S. and rotate our most preferred cyclical region from Japan to Europe. Positive stock-bond correlation may decline modestly but will likely persist.

Global Fixed Income Views 3Q 2024

Despite mixed data and the rarity of soft landings, the Fed may have engineered one. Our base case: 70% probability of Sub Trend Growth. An economy gliding to trend growth, and 2% inflation, have always been good for credit risk. This time should be no exception.

Global Equity Views 2Q 2024

Our portfolio managers are a little more cautious on the outlook. Many prefer quality stocks and find less expensive names in the more cyclical, industrial areas of the market. Fundamentals of corporate profits still look good.

Factor Views 2Q 2024

Factors had a strong first quarter, particularly equity factors. Equity value rose in nearly every region and remains inexpensive. Prospects remain attractive for a range of factors, including equity value and quality in the U.S., and macro carry

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