Insights

Market Insights

Our Market Insights programme is designed to empower investors to make better investment decisions.

The Guide to the Markets illustrates market and economic trends using compelling charts. The Weekly Brief provides summaries of recent market movements and economic developments; and On the Minds of Investors gives you our views on the questions that are top of mind.

Introducing the Q3 2020 Guide to the Markets

In unprecedented times for markets, this quarter’s Guide provides clear and compelling charts to illustrate the investment landscape and support conversations with your clients.

Download the Guide to the Markets

Portfolio Insights

Commentary, strategic perspectives and in-depth analysis from our investment teams to help guide your portfolio decisions.

Weekly Bond Bulletin

Our Global Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities group reviews key issues for bond investors through the lens of its common Fundamental, Quantitative Valuation and Technical research framework.

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Global Asset Allocation Views Q3 2020

Our updated views reflect a moderately greater risk tolerance and a recognition that central banks are “all in.” We are neutral stocks vs. bonds, prefer U.S. equities, overweight investment grade credit and reduce duration to a small underweight.

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Global Fixed Income Views Q3 2020

After a historic quarter of global pandemic, economic shutdowns, ballooning government fiscal support and breathtaking central bank lending, Above Trend Growth has become our base case at 80% probability; we believe GDP bottomed in Q2.

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Global Equity Views Q3 2020

While the opportunity to invest at depressed prices is largely gone, we see a good chance of better relative returns from a wider range of stocks. Look for opportunities outside the usual suspects that have dominated returns for a decade.

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Emerging Market Debt Strategy Q3 2020

Our updated base case view, to which we assign a 60% probability, looks for global growth to bottom out and gradually transition to a shallow recovery. We see only a moderate risk of inflation, as activity and commodity prices remain low. In this core scenario, we expect central banks to remain accommodative, which we think will support emerging market assets.

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Factor Views Q3 2020

Factor performance was choppy over Q2. Equity and event-driven factors were mixed while macro factors suffered sharp reversals. We continue to see an attractive outlook for equity value and upgraded our view for equity quality.

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Global Alternatives Outlook 2020

Our 12- to 18-month outlook for a wide range of alternative asset classes, drawing on the insights of more than 700 professionals around the globe to explore how alternative asset allocation can help build resilient portfolios, reduce risk and satisfy investor appetite for income and alpha.

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The value of investments may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the full amount invested.

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Introducing the Q3 2020 Guide to the Markets

Portfolio Insights

Weekly Bond Bulletin

Global Asset Allocation Views Q3 2020

Global Fixed Income Views Q3 2020

Global Equity Views Q3 2020

Emerging Market Debt Strategy Q3 2020

Factor Views Q3 2020

Global Alternatives Outlook 2020