The Armageddonists!
Armageddonists and the portfolio cost of fear, 2010-2019
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Warren Peace
A close look at the Progressive Agenda, China’s deteriorating welcome mat in DC and US Tech IPOs.
Active Management and QE-Distorted Markets
Michael Cembalest analyzes the performance of over 6,700 domestic and international active equity managers, and discusses the challenges they face outperforming at a time of markets distorted by quantitative easing.
Cold Turkey
A brief comment on a proposal from leading Presidential candidates to ban hydraulic fracturing everywhere, immediately.
So Long Yellow Brick Road
An update from the front lines of the Trade War, with a focus on implications for investors
Food fights at the Fed and in the Leveraged Loan market
The food fight between the President and the Fed Chair could result in too much easing, and the expansion of valuations beyond sustainable levels. The other food fight: leveraged loan issuers vs buyers. Issuers are winning this fight hands down due.
Lost in space: The search for democratic socialism in the real world
Michael went on a search for Democratic Socialism in the real world, and ended up halfway around the globe from where he began.
Listen when people tell you who they are
Michael shares his thoughts on the US China trade war, Mexico tariffs and the US immigration policy.
Smoot Hardly: the US-China trade war, prescription drug price legislation and the 2020 election
Michael discusses US-China trade war in context, the outlook for prescription drug price legislation, and an updated ideological scorecard for 2020 Presidential candidates.
Fed Zeppelin: Is the Fed making a mistake?
The Fed halted tightening and propelled equities to their fastest recovery ever following a bear market. This decision was made despite the lowest unemployment rate in 40 years. Does that make sense? Also, a possible deal with China.