The Fed halted tightening and propelled equities to their fastest recovery ever following a bear market. This decision was made despite the lowest unemployment rate in 40 years. Does that make sense? Also, a possible deal with China.
Mountains and molehills: Achievements and distractions on the road to decarbonization, and what comes next
Michael discusses this year���s Eye on the Market Energy paper.�� Topics include the unattainable objectives of the Green New Deal, an overview of the world���s de-carbonization challenges, Germany���s energy transition and Trump���s War on Science.
Bond yields remain at or near historic lows around the world, leading to a substantial increase in the value of pension plan liabilities.
EM currencies have struggled when the PMI has been falling, and thus its equity returns have underperformed versus the U.S. and other developed markets.
Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
Michael takes a close look at the question of rising committed and unspent capital in private equity, and implications for investors.
Michael looks at the midterms: GOP gains in the Senate, an historic loss in the House given economic and market conditions, and what it means for investors.
A brief note on the latest price action in equity markets, how business cycles end, and how markets are being left to fend for themselves without central bank intervention for the first time in 20 years.