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Taft-Hartley Newsletter Spring/Summer 2019
The global COVID-19 outbreak, and the government-mandated lockdowns that ensued, caused risk assets to drop at an unprecedented pace over the first quarter of 2020.
We raised the probability of Recession to 55% after virus-induced shocks, oil prices’ collapse and violent market volatility. We are de-risking, adding very high quality duration, while expecting credit markets to cheapen and reserve currencies to do well