Daily comprehensive market and economic trends through clear and compelling charts.
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Our 2020 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs) present our forecasts for economic growth, inflation and asset returns over the next 10 to 15 years.
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Core bond yields have pushed higher since the end of October. Is the move warranted by a shift in the fundamental picture, and where could we go from here?
For investors peering into 2020, it is likely that U.S. monetary policy will remain on hold for the time being.
EM should continue to provide a substantial economic growth alpha relative to developed markets due to better demographics and a productivity catch-up.
Valuations for high quality credit may seem slightly stretched in the context of outperformance so far this year, but with various catalysts ahead, we believe the asset class will remain in favour.
As an increasing number of high yield corporates run into trouble we question whether the rise in corporate distress is a signal for more caution, or if lower rated credits now look more attractive at improved valuations.