The economic backdrop in 2019 has been characterized by weakness in manufacturing being offset by the resilience of services and health of the consumer.
The growing amount of negative yielding debt overseas is weighing down on U.S yields as Treasuries become the best house in a bad neighborhood.
At its July meeting, the U.S Federal Reserve (the Fed) cut rates for the first time since December 2008.
The current earnings season has been mixed; lower energy prices and a stronger dollar are headwinds, but health care sector M&A is providing an offset.
The yield curve inversion, has become a trusted signal of impending economic turmoil due to the close historical relationship between inversions and recessions.
Trade was the hot topic of 2018, with the U.S. administration engaging in negotiations with many major trading partners.
A greater percentage of negative yielding bonds has reignited the hunt for yield as investors look for higher yields in riskier asset classes.
The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) has called a halt to the balance sheet reduction program earlier, and at a higher terminal level, than investors first anticipated.
Equities continue to look attractive relative to fixed income, and could very well move higher in the short-term given firmer economic data and a Fed on hold.
Over the last decade, investors have been incentivized to “hunt for yield” in riskier asset classes by unorthodox monetary policy, which sucked the yield out of traditional “safe havens”.