Negative effects would occur in the context of an economy less energized by fiscal stimulus than was the case last year.
Scott McKee, Emerging Markets Corporate Bond portfolio manager, explores the opportunity set in corporate EMD
Long-term Capital Market Assumptions 2017 Theme-Credit cycles
The arrival of the bond bear market, continued normalizing of monetary policy and need to finance expanding U.S. budget deficits, long-term rates are set to rise.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
Over the past few weeks, futures markets have begun pricing in an increasing chance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its July meeting. This has also been reflected in the cash bond market, where yields out to the 6-month maturity
We have now seen actions, rather than just rhetoric, on U.S. China trade in a broad sense. While it will take markets some time to fully and appropriately price in the impact, it was encouraging to see markets not react too poorly to the first round of ta
Market participants remain focused on downside risks, leading pessimism, rather than optimism, to permeate the investment landscape