2018 Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions Matrix: Japanese Yen
Our expectations for returns, volatilities and correlations, arranged in an easy-to-reference matrix format.
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2018 Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions Matrix: South Korean Won
Our expectations for returns, volatilities and correlations, arranged in an easy-to-reference matrix format.
Emerging Market Equity Views : Favorable global cycle and USD outlooks create a positive environment
While tariffs remain a concern, the key issue is the degree—which we deem moderate—of U.S. recession risk. The current global backdrop makes the U.S. dollar unlikely to strengthen. Earnings growth expectations are modest, valuations are undemanding
Moving toward a (slightly) more volatile future
Volatility Assumptions
Dr. Kelly's Commentary: Deflation delusions
This bulletin, written by Dr. David Kelly, addresses the impact that deflationary fears have had on the Fed's decision to postpone rate hikes.
Benefits of being “insurance-like”
Pension funds can build better portfolios by adopting strategies used by insurers
Fed Policy: Late-cycle and beyond
Assessing the impact and possible evolution of Fed policy
Economic Update
This weekly update provides a snapshot of changes in the economy and markets and their implications for investors.
Cyclicals vs. defensives: The valuation imbalance
This bulletin recaps the second quarter earnings season and discusses the outlook for earnings for the rest of 2016.
Saying "no" to NIRP
This bulletin discusses the implications of negative interest rate policy