Negative effects would occur in the context of an economy less energized by fiscal stimulus than was the case last year.
Long-term Capital Market Assumptions 2017 Theme-Credit cycles
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
Assessing the impact and possible evolution of Fed policy
Over the past few weeks, futures markets have begun pricing in an increasing chance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its July meeting. This has also been reflected in the cash bond market, where yields out to the 6-month maturity
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We have now seen actions, rather than just rhetoric, on U.S. China trade in a broad sense. While it will take markets some time to fully and appropriately price in the impact, it was encouraging to see markets not react too poorly to the first round of ta
Market participants remain focused on downside risks, leading pessimism, rather than optimism, to permeate the investment landscape
After a long and brutal U.S. Presidential election campaign, Donald Trump has emerged victorious, with Hillary Clinton conceding in the early hours of the morning, and Trump congratulating her on a hard-fought campaign.