Weakness in the global economy has been almost entirely driven by the manufacturing sector. With recent data showing tentative signs of a recovery, what could be the implications for bond markets?
As we hold our latest Investment Quarterly meeting, we take a look at how 2019 has played out so far. Dovish central bank policy has propelled markets to strong returns, but trade remains a key risk.
Reaching for yield, which we define as buying bonds with wider spreads after controlling for sector and rating impacts, is a topic that frequently arises in the life insurance industry.
We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
As an increasing number of high yield corporates run into trouble we question whether the rise in corporate distress is a signal for more caution, or if lower rated credits now look more attractive at improved valuations.
Valuations for high quality credit may seem slightly stretched in the context of outperformance so far this year, but with various catalysts ahead, we believe the asset class will remain in favour.
This research examines the evolution of baby boomer balance sheets and attempts to assess and quantify its implications for markets and investors.
The bond bear market, continued normalizing of monetary policy and need to finance expanding U.S. budget deficits, long-term rates are set to rise.
The economic backdrop in 2019 has been characterized by weakness in manufacturing being offset by the resilience of services and health of the consumer.
The Bank of Japan has reacted to a persistently flat yield curve As demand for duration sendsby adjusting its Rinban operations and by signalling that a potential rate cut is around the corner. But will these attempts to steepen the curve be sustainable?