Fixed income has struggled thus far in 2018, with the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. aggregate down 1.6% year-to-date. But in this period of rising interest rates, not all fixed income is responding uniformly.
The yield curve inversion, has become a trusted signal of impending economic turmoil due to the close historical relationship between inversions and recessions.
Pascal’s Wager argues that belief makes more sense than disbelief when the worst outcome is a total loss.
With last year’s stock market volatility continuing into the first week of 2019, it is clear that investors are anxious. This anxiety is not without merit: indeed, economic data over the last two weeks seem to suggest a material slowdown in growth.
With recent comments from the Federal Reserve sounding more accommodative and evidence of a positive turn in trade negotiations, it felt as if equity markets were finally set for some relief.
Market sentiment towards the Chinese currency has shifted significantly
With more and more companies now privately held, investors have shifted their focus to how they can exit these investments and get their money back.
Trade policy is of first-order importance in a more connected world, and markets have been reacting nervously to U.S. trade disputes.
Trade was the hot topic of 2018, with the U.S. administration engaging in negotiations with many major trading partners.