Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
Assessing the impact and possible evolution of Fed policy
Transient market volatility has the potential to be thrilling
WHILE MOST CORPORATIONS’ 10-K FILINGS WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE UNTIL LATE FEBRUARY, WE ANALYZED PRELIMINARY DATA ON PENSION PLANS THAT HAVE FISCAL YEAR ENDS BETWEEN JUNE 30, 2018 AND OCTOBER 31, 2018.
Market participants remain focused on downside risks, leading pessimism, rather than optimism, to permeate the investment landscape
For the first time in 20 years, markets will have to survive without support from central banks.
Currency movements based onbrexit's outcome.
In this year’s Holiday Eye on the Market, Michael records a note to his spouse on her father, the 2020 US Presidential election, and what might be the widest ideological divide in 100 years.
The U.S. economy should slow but not stall in 2019 due to fading fiscal stimulus, higher interest rates and a lack of workers. Even as unemployment falls further, inflation should be relatively contained.
How will the Brexit negotiations conclude?