LTCMA 2017 Macroeconomic Assumptions
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Following two years of double-digit positive performance, emerging market (EM) equities have reversed course this year.
Markets have bounced back nicely in 2019 after a volatile December due to concerns of rising rates, peak economic and earnings growth and geopolitical tensions.
A slowdown is coming sooner rather than later. Investor should remain cautiously optimistic to environment growth, with a bias on quality and eye on duration.
Momentum investing is a strategy which looks at relative trailing 6- and 12- month price performance when determining which stocks to overweight. 2018 has been a good year for momentum stocks, which are up an impressive 11.4%*.
With more and more companies now privately held, investors have shifted their focus to how they can exit these investments and get their money back.
Fixed income has struggled thus far in 2018, with the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. aggregate down 1.6% year-to-date. But in this period of rising interest rates, not all fixed income is responding uniformly.
Pascal’s Wager argues that belief makes more sense than disbelief when the worst outcome is a total loss.
After a dramatic escalation in trade tensions between the U.S. and China early last week, the Chinese yuan depreciated significantly against the U.S. dollar.