Weekly Bond Bulletin: Forecasting the Fed
With Mexico the latest target of Washington’s tariff tactics, trade tensions are clearly escalating, not subsiding. Could this be the final straw to push the Federal Reserve to cut rates?
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Weekly Bond Bulletin: Trading on trade wars
Trade rhetoric is dominating news flow, weighing on risk assets. What could be the implications for US growth and inflation, and how is the outlook reflected in valuations?
Weekly Bond Bulletin: Central banks recalibrate
Central banks across the globe recalibrated their policy stance in the first week of May, making it clear that inflation is not the sole driver of their decisions. What does this suggest for the future direction of monetary policy?
Weekly Bond Bulletin: Unpopular populism
The rise in support for populist parties in the European elections has done nothing for the popularity of European risk assets. Should investors ditch Europe, or does this represent a buying opportunity?
Weekly Bond Bulletin: Picking up China
Despite the recent resurgence of growth worries, we maintain the view we expressed in February that Chinese growth will accelerate this year. This should be supportive for fixed income risk assets, especially if higher growth feeds through to other region
Weekly Bond Bulletin: On the rebound?
The year started with global macro data and quantitative valuations moving in opposite directions. Can this trend continue, or will one side give way?
Weekly Bond Bulletin: A longer ride
Dovish central banks have the potential to extend the cycle—and therefore the positive environment for credit. Despite the strong performance year to date, we see opportunities for selective investors.
Weekly Bond Bulletin: Reading between the lines
While weaker headline earnings growth in future quarters could unsettle investors, many underlying factors suggest corporate health remains strong. What is the full story for investment grade credit?
Weekly Bond Bulletin: Beijing at the helm
China’s monetary and fiscal efforts to manoeuvre a soft landing and cope with pressure from increased trade tensions are beginning to pay off. What are the broader implications?