Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
The food fight between the President and the Fed Chair could result in too much easing, and the expansion of valuations beyond sustainable levels. The other food fight: leveraged loan issuers vs buyers. Issuers are winning this fight hands down due.
Improving credit fundamentals, light tax-exempt supply and robust demand have driven the strong performance of municipal bonds in 2019.
Where can investors find sustainable sources of return?
Learn about the important topics covered in the Outlook and their potential impact on broader markets. Michael Cembalest touches on topics including: the global banking system, oil markets, the credit risk of US states and credit market liquidity.
The S&P 500 could hit 10,000 by the mid-2030s
One of the most perplexing things about the recent stock market rally is that it has occurred against a backdrop of equity fund outflows and bond fund inflows. In fact, according to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), from the end of 3Q18 through the
Time-tested projections for resilient portfolios