The food fight between the President and the Fed Chair could result in too much easing, and the expansion of valuations beyond sustainable levels. The other food fight: leveraged loan issuers vs buyers. Issuers are winning this fight hands down due.
A weekly review of global markets and multi-asset portfolios
Michael discusses how short covering, rather than real money, has driven the fastest recovery on record following a bear market, and looks ahead at slowing earnings growth.
A brief note on the latest price action in equity markets, how business cycles end, and how markets are being left to fend for themselves without central bank intervention for the first time in 20 years.
Expected returns and correlations of asset classes.
This bulletin, written by Dr. David Kelly, addresses the Federal Open Market Committee meeting announcement on September 17.
The U.S. economy should slow but not stall in 2019 due to fading fiscal stimulus, higher interest rates and a lack of workers. Even as unemployment falls further, inflation should be relatively contained.
Executive summary of JPM's long-term capital market return assumptions
Executive Summary. Prolonged period of delevraging could mean low interest rates; subdued growth.