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We emerged with a cautious near-term view from our latest quarterly strategy meeting in early September. In our base case scenario, the global economy is expected to narrowly avoid recession and continue to grow, albeit much more slowly.
Learn more about J.P. Morgan’s views on fixed income, the economy and markets.
In this paper, we assess the potential risks associated with such a strategy by stressing capital requirements using spread-implied ratings.
Reaching for yield, which we define as buying bonds with wider spreads after controlling for sector and rating impacts, is a topic that frequently arises in the life insurance industry.
The performance of the US dollar significantly diverged from relative rate spreads.
Our view over the past few quarters has been that EURUSD should be rangebound, as the cyclical outperformance of the US economy is offset by the eurozone’s relatively better balance of payments position.
Learn how J.P. Morgan creates customized plans to help clients implement a liability driven investment (LDI) strategy.
David Kelly, the Fed, interest rates