Markets, economy, stocks, growth, global, fixed income, international, asset classes
Market downturn, bear market
Investors are concerned about the deterioration of corporate debt quality, marked by lower credit ratings and a large share of covenant-lite issuance in the loan market.
Is the gap closing between US equity returns and the rest of the world’s?
Learn about the important topics covered in the Outlook and their potential impact on broader markets. Michael Cembalest touches on topics including: the global banking system, oil markets, the credit risk of US states and credit market liquidity.
We raised the probability of Recession to 55% after virus-induced shocks, oil prices’ collapse and violent market volatility. We are de-risking, adding very high quality duration, while expecting credit markets to cheapen and reserve currencies to do well
Scott McKee, Emerging Markets Corporate Bond portfolio manager, explores the opportunity set in corporate EMD
The arrival of the bond bear market, continued normalizing of monetary policy and need to finance expanding U.S. budget deficits, long-term rates are set to rise.
We have now seen actions, rather than just rhetoric, on U.S. China trade in a broad sense. While it will take markets some time to fully and appropriately price in the impact, it was encouraging to see markets not react too poorly to the first round of ta